Feasible and skillful planning, based on a set of solid criteria, is an essential factor, determining effective performance and competitiveness of business firms. The author supports the original new approach to assessing benchmarks of firms development through the prism of long-term growth rates of national economies, that have proceeded to the next stage of economic development.
The studies on the dynamics of economic growth of most countries make it possible to assert that the development of technologically advanced countries in modern conditions is characterized by a certain constant, which can be considered as "current macro-constant of development." The article indicates their relevance and justifies the statement that "current macro-constants of development" can and should be a landmark of strategic development of all countries aspiring towards equal economic and political relations with the technologically leading countries. The paper identifies the conditions under which the group macro-constant of development appears, evaluates particular values of macro-constants in different countries and presents a number of advantages of long-term growth measure in the absolute values of the change rate of the annual income per capita of the country compared to other indicators Conclusions are based on the analysis of long-term data of total GDP, GDP per capita and their derivatives in most countries of the world. The analysis of statistical information has been done by using the well-known econometric methods-correlation, regression and cluster analysis. The practical importance of the results is characterized by the opportunity for their long-term use (15 years or more), forecasting and strategic planning of growth rates, both for companies and countries within industrial and economic policies. Apstrakt: Studije koje se bave proučavanjem dinamike ekonomskog razvoja velikog broja zemalja govore u prilog tvrdnji da razvoj tehnološki najrazvijenijih zemalja u savremenim uslovima karakteriše određena konstanta, koja se može smatrati trenutnom konstantom makroekonomskog razvoja. Ovaj rad ukazuje na njihov značaj i ističe da bi one trebalo da budu orijentir strateškog razvoja bilo koje zemlje koja pretenduje da ima isti ekonomski i politički položaj kao i najrazvijenije tehnološke zemlje. Ovaj rad prikazuje uslove pod kojim se grupa konstanti makorekonomskog razvoja pojavljuje, procenjuje određene vrednosti konstanti makroekonomskog razvoja u različitim zemljama i ukazuje na prednosti dugoročnog rasta apsolutnih vrednosti stope promene godišnjeg prihoda po glavi stanovnika u odnosu na druge pokazatelje. Zaključci se izvode na osnovu analize dugoročnih podataka ukupnog bruto nacionalnog dohotka, njegove vrednosti po glavi stanovnika i njegovih derivata u većini zemalja sveta. Analiza statističkih podataka sprovedena je korišćenjem dobro poznatih ekonometrijskih metodakorelacije, regresije i analize klastera. Praktična vrednost rezultata ukazuje na mogućnost njihove dugoročne upotrebe (15 godina ili više), kao i na mogućnost prognoziranja i strateškog planiranja stope rasta, kako za kompanije tako i za zemlje u okvirima industrijske i ekonomske politike.
In the article discuss the assertion about the existence of fundamental laws of a previously unknown economical and technological type, and a series of examples demonstrate their possibility of forecasting.
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