This paper proposed the forecasting model of Influenza-like Illness (ILI) and respiratory disease. The dataset was extracted from the Taiwan Environmental Protection Administration (EPA) for air pollutants data and the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) for disease cases from 2009 to 2018. First, this paper applied the ARIMA method, which trained based on the weekly number of disease cases in time series. Second, we implemented the Long short-term memory (LSTM) method, which trained based on the correlation between the weekly number of diseases and air pollutants. The models were also trained and evaluated based on five and ten years of historical data. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) has an excellent model in the five-year dataset of ILI at 2564.9 compared to ten years at 8173.6 of RMSE value. This accuracy is similar to the Respiratory dataset, which gets 15,656.7 in the five-year dataset and 22,680.4 of RMSE value in the ten-year dataset. On the contrary, LSTM has better accuracy in the ten-year dataset than the five-year dataset. For example, on average of RMSE in the ILI dataset, LSTM has 720.2 RMSE value in five years and 517.0 in ten years dataset. Also, in the Respiratory disease dataset, LSTM gets 4768.6 of five years of data and 3254.3 of the ten-year dataset. These experiments revealed that the LSTM model generally outperforms ARIMA by three to seven times higher model performance.
Aim: Results from various studies are controversial regarding long-term hepatic effects of tumor necrosis factor (TNF)α inhibitors. Here we aimed to investigate the development of liver cirrhosis with TNFα inhibitors use in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Method: This nested case-control study was based on the National Health Insurance Research Database (January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2008) of Taiwan. We identified 559 adult RA patients who developed liver cirrhosis, and 1055 matched control RA patients. TNFα inhibitors of interest in the study period included adalimumab and etanercept. Multivariate logistic regression analysis for the development of liver cirrhosis with respect to use of TNFα inhibitors was performed. Results:The incidence rate of liver cirrhosis was 274 per 100 000 person-years in newly diagnosed RA patients. We found the use of TNFα inhibitors was not associated with the development of liver cirrhosis in RA patients (odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 0.61, 1.70) after adjustment for potential confounders. In addition, the finding was robust to an unobserved confounder. Conclusion:We found no association between the use of TNFα inhibitors and development of liver cirrhosis in RA patients.
Psoriasis is an immune-mediated skin disease with a worldwide prevalence of 2–4% that causes scaling erythematous skin lesions. It is a chronic relapsing and complex multifactorial disease that often necessitates long-term therapy. Despite various novel therapies, psoriasis remains a treatable but non-curable disease. Because the antitussive medication dextromethorphan (DXM) can inhibit murine bone marrow and human monocytes and slow the progression of arthritis in mice with type II collagen-induced arthritis, we explored whether the oral administration of DXM to mice with imiquimod (IMQ)-induced psoriasis can effectively alleviate psoriasis symptoms and improve immune regulation. Herein, we examined the therapeutic effects of DXM on psoriasis and its potential mechanisms of action in an IMQ-induced psoriasis mice model. We found that an oral dose of DXM (10 mg/kg) could more significantly reduce psoriasis symptoms compared with intraperitoneal injection. Seven days after the oral administration of DXM, the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score was significantly decreased compared with that in the vehicle group. Furthermore, DXM treatment also significantly ameliorated the psoriasis symptoms and the histopathological features of psoriasis, including stratum corneum thickening, desquamation, and immune cell infiltration. Additionally, DXM reduced the mRNA levels of the cytokines TNF-α, IL-6, IL-17A, and IL-22 in skin and the percentage of IL-17A and IL-22 producing T cell receptor γδ T cells (TCRγδT). Taken together, our research demonstrated that DXM could inhibit keratinocyte proliferation and alleviate psoriasis symptoms, which suggests the potential application of DXM in the treatment of chronic inflammation and autoimmune diseases.
Introduction: Fibromyalgia (FM) is a chronic disorder characterized by widespread pain with an enormous symptom burden. Its treatment efficacy is limited. Its pathogenesis involves immune dysregulation, which includes interleukin-6 (IL-6) production. Methods: We herein reported a case series of FM patients receiving subcutaneous tocilizumab at our institution. FM symptoms were evaluated by the revised Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQR), which included pain level, and the fibromyalgianess scale based on the 2016 criteria of the American College of Rheumatology (ACR). FM symptoms were compared using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Neutrophils from primary FM patients and matched healthy controls were also isolated for transcriptome analysis. Results: We presented a total of two primary and four secondary FM patients who had received subcutaneous tocilizumab for a minimum of 12 weeks. All patients had severe symptoms despite standard treatments. Patients’ FIQR and fibromyalgianess both dropped at 4 and 12 weeks. Four (67%) of them reached a pain reduction of ≥30% at 4 weeks, and three (50%) reached a pain reduction of ≥30% at 12 weeks. Possible differentially expressed genes were identified in primary FM patients when compared with controls and after tocilizumab treatment. Conclusions: FM patients likely benefited from subcutaneous tocilizumab therapy. A randomized controlled trial is needed to verify its efficacy.
Objectives: This study investigates the efficacy and adverse events of beta-3 agonists and antimuscarinic agents for managing overactive bladder syndrome in Sjogren syndrome.Methods: Sjogren's syndrome patients with an Overactive Bladder Symptom Score (OABSS) >5 were enrolled and were randomly assigned to mirabegron 50 mg/day or solifenacin 5 mg/day. Patients were evaluated on the recruitment day and reassessed at Week 1, 2, 4, and 12. The study's primary endpoint was to have a significant change in OABSS at Week 12. The secondary endpoint was the adverse event and crossover rate.Results: A total of 41 patients were included in the final analysis, with 24 in the mirabegron group and 17 in the solifenacin group. The study's primary outcome was a change of the OABSS at Week 12. We found that both mirabegron and solifenacin significantly reduce patients' OABSS after 12 weeks of treatment. The evolution of the OABSS was À3.08 for mirabegron and À3.71 for solifenacin (p = .56). Six out of 17 patients from the solifenacin group crossed over to the mirabegron arm due to severe dry mouth or constipation, while none from the mirabegron arm crossed over to the solifenacin group. Sjogren's syndrome-related pain was also improved in the mirabegron group (4.96-1.67, p = .008) compared to the solifenacin group (4.39-3.4, p = .49).Conclusions: Our study showed that mirabegron is equally effective as solifenacin in treating Sjogren's syndrome patients with overactive bladder. Mirabegron is superior to solifenacin in terms of treatment-related adverse events.
Background Fibromyalgia (FM) is a complex disorder characterized by chronic widespread pain and significant patient burden. Patients with chronic hepatitis C are reportedly predisposed to the development of FM. Direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAA) achieved a remarkable therapeutic efficacy in CHC patients. We therefore investigated the impact of DAA on FM symptoms in CHC patients. Methods We enrolled consecutive CHC patients who received DAA. FM symptoms were evaluated based on the 2016 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) fibromyalgia scale at baseline and 12 and 24 weeks after cessation of DAA therapy. Logistic regression was performed to determine the influence of HCV on FM at baseline. We also recruited individuals who underwent a health checkup examination as the control group, and calculated the standardized prevalence ratio of FM in CHC patients. Comparisons of fibromyalgia in different time points were undertaken using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Results A total of 33 CHC patients (15 males and 18 females) and 402 controls were recruited. All CHC patients achieved sustained virological response. Two (6%) patients and two (0.5%) controls fulfilled the diagnostic criteria for FM, and the standardized prevalence ratio was 23.9 in CHC patients. Logistic regression also showed increased odds for FM in CHC patients after adjusting for age and sex (OR: 14.4; 95%CI: 1.6, 128.0). In addition, their fibromyalgianess scale decreased at 12 and 24 weeks after DAA therapy. In conclusion, CHC patients were more likely to develop FM. Implementation of DAA therapy might improve FM symptoms in these patients.
Background: We aimed to investigate the change of hepatitis B virus (HBV) viral loads and HBV reactivation (HBVr) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients after tapering the dose of biological/targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (b/tsDMARDs). Methods: This two-center analysis retrospectively investigated the virological and biochemical evidence of HBVr in RA patients who underwent b/tsDMARD dose reduction. Serum levels of viral loads were determined using real-time PCR. Serum levels of alanine transaminase (ALT) were determined using spectrophotometry. Results: Among a total of 40 HBsAg+ RA patients who tapered b/tsDMARDs, 14 (35%) used tocilizumab; 12 (30%) used tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α inhibitors; and the rest used either abatacept or tofacitinib. We found that patients who had detectable HBV DNA before tapering achieved a one-log reduction in HBV DNA levels, in contrast to the findings in the other 12 patients who did not taper b/tsDMARDs (no change in HBV DNA levels with time). The incidence of HBVr (increased viral loads with hepatitis) was 4.62 (95%CI: 2.08, 10.28) and 2.26 (95%CI: 0.56, 9.02) events per 100 person-years before and after b/tsDMARD tapering, respectively. Conclusions: The HBV viral load decreased after the tapering of b/tsDMARDs in RA patients with detectable HBV DNA. Dose reduction in b/tsDMARDs might be beneficial.
Rheumatoid arthritis (RA), a chronic inflammatory disease, carries a significant burden of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD). With their heterogeneous composition, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) particles have varied athero-protective properties, and some may even increase ASCVD risk. In this prospective and cross-sectional study, we aimed to examine the relationship between HDL sizes/metabolites and inflammation in RA. Using 1H-NMR-based lipid/metabolomics, differential HDL-related metabolites were identified between RA patients and healthy control (HC) subjects and between RA patients with and without anti-citrullinated peptide antibodies (ACPA). The correlation between the discriminative HDL-related metabolites and C-reactive protein (CRP) was evaluated in RA patients. RA patients demonstrated higher particle number, lipids, cholesterol, cholesterol ester, free cholesterol, and phospholipids in large/very large-sized HDLs. ACPA-positive patients had higher L-HDL-C and L-HDL-CE but lower small-/medium-sized HDL-TG levels than ACPA-negative patients. An inverse correlation was found between CRP levels and small-sized HDLs. Janus kinase inhibitor treatment was associated with increased serum small-sized HDL-related metabolites and decreased CRP levels. We are the first to reveal the significant associations between RA inflammation and HDL sizes/metabolites. A potential link between ACPA positivity and changes in serum levels of HDL-related metabolites was also observed in RA patients.
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