In recent decades, the Tulancingo municipality (Mexico), has been affected by numerous extreme weather phenomena that caused heavy flooding events with severe damage to property and people. Most of the weather phenomena placed several dams under hydrologic risk. The hurricane ‘Dean’, in 2007, led to the overflow of the dam ‘La Esperanza’, generating inundations that reached levels of 1 m in Tulancingo. Mexico does not have a specific regulation that establishes critical thresholds for the construction of flooding hazard maps. With the aim to provide a tool for the flooding hazard assessment, we performed a numerical study of inundation waterdepths by means of the IBER software. The study is based on the construction of different inundation scenarios that are based on the hydrologic study of ‘La Esperanza’ dam's basin, associated to regional precipitation and different return periods. Inundation waterdepths, flow velocity, and land use were used to construct flooding hazard maps. We calculated the occurrence probability of the considered inundation events. The hazard maps presented here and the evaluation of the flooding likelihood can support long‐term planning that would help minimise the impact of such events in Tulancingo.
With the aim of establishing adequate time intervals for maintenance of offshore structures, an approach based on multiobjective optimization for making decisions is proposed. The formulation takes into account the degradation of the mechanical properties of the structures and its influence over time on both the structural capacity and the structural demand, given a maximum wave height. The set of time intervals for maintenance corresponds to a balance between three objectives: (a) structural reliability, (b) damage index, and (c) expected cumulative total cost. Structural reliability is expressed in terms of confidence factors as functions of time by means of closed-form mathematical expressions which consider structural deterioration. The multiobjective optimization is solved using an evolutionary genetic algorithm. The approach is applied to an offshore platform located at Campeche Bay in the Gulf of Mexico. The optimization criterion includes the reconstruction of the platform. Results indicate that if the first maintenance action is made in 5 years after installing the structure, the second repair action should be made in the following 7 to 10 years; however, if the first maintenance action is made in 6 years after installing the structure, then the second should be made in the following 5 to 8 years.
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