Phenological mismatch has been proposed as a key mechanism by which climate change can increase the severity of insect outbreaks. Spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana) is a serious defoliator of North American conifers that feeds on buds in the early spring. Black spruce (Picea mariana) has traditionally been considered a poor-quality host plant since its buds open later than those of the preferred host, balsam fir (Abies balsamea). We hypothesize that advancing black spruce budbreak phenology under a warmer climate would improve its phenological synchrony with budworm and hence increase both its suitability as a host plant and resulting defoliation damage. We evaluated the relationship between tree phenology and both budworm performance and tree defoliation by placing seven cohorts of budworm larvae on black spruce and balsam fir branches at different lags with tree budburst. Our results show that on both host plants, spruce budworm survival and pupal mass decrease sharply when budbreak occurs prior to larval emergence. By contrast, emergence before budbreak decreases survival, but does not negatively impact growth or reproductive output. We also document phytochemical changes that occur as needles mature and define a window of opportunity for the budworm. Finally, larvae that emerged in synchrony with budbreak had the greatest defoliating effect on black spruce. Our results suggest that in the event of advanced black spruce phenology due to climate warming, this host species will support better budworm survival and suffer increased defoliation.

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Establishing feeding sites is critical for the survival of neonate Lepidoptera larvae. Rapid foliar quality changes during leaf expansion create a narrow window of opportunity for establishment of early-spring feeders. We examined the effect of phenological synchrony between black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) Britton, Sterns & Poggenb.) and balsam fir (Abies balsamea (L.) Mill.) budbreak and spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana (Clemens)) emergence on the feeding behaviour of young larvae and on overall larval growth and survival under laboratory conditions. We correlated these variables with bud development and foliar toughness during the growing season. Our results show that early-emerging second-instar larvae were unable to feed on either black spruce or balsam fir buds; budworm on balsam fir mined old foliage and exhibited good survival and performance, but those on black spruce remained on the foliar surface and suffered high mortality and low growth. In the second later-emerging cohort, bud feeding gradually increased on black spruce whereas it was already the predominant behaviour on balsam fir, and no differences in performance were observed between host species. Thus, black spruce budbreak constitutes a strict window of opportunity, since larvae are often unable to mine the old foliage. Our results suggest that mechanical toughness could be the obstacle preventing young larvae from mining old black spruce needles. Our findings confirm the importance of second-instar ecology in spruce budworm, suggesting that, if climate warming eventually results in an improvement in phenological synchrony between spruce budworm and black spruce, larval survival may increase.

The effect of host nutritional quality on spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana (Clemens)) parental and offspring performance was studied using field and laboratory rearing experiments, and foliar chemical analyses. Foliage of balsam fir (Abies balsamea (L.) Mill.), white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) and black spruce (P. mariana (Mill.) BSP) was used to rear the parental generation in the field, whereas an artificial diet was used to rear the progeny under laboratory conditions. Important differences in the food quality were provided by the three hosts. Black spruce foliage had higher concentrations of certain monoterpene deterrents and total phenolics, together with stronger seasonal declines in nutrients such as N, P and Mg, compared with the other hosts. We hypothesise that this trend may be related to poor performance and survival of the progeny. Laboratory rearing showed that progeny of parents that fed on black spruce exhibited longer developmental times and greater mortality, and had lower pupal mass than progeny of parents fed on the other hosts. Further, artificial food-fed progeny of insects reared on black spruce reached sixth-instar later, with lower mass, and exhibited higher relative growth rate (RGR) than progeny of parents fed on the other hosts. These results suggest nutritionally-based parental effects. These results also confirmed that the quality of food consumed by the parents can influence the fitness of the next generation.

Thinning reduced balsam fir resistance to spruce budworm defoliation. This response is due to increased defoliation linked to reduction in concentrations of certain monoterpenes, and a decrease in foliage production, except on hydric drainage, demonstrating the importance of drainage class to tree resistance. The results suggest that the use of Bacillus thuringiensis might be required when conducting stand thinning during spruce budworm outbreaks.

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