2008
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2008.0463
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Warming, plant phenology and the spatial dimension of trophic mismatch for large herbivores

Abstract: Temporal advancement of resource availability by warming in seasonal environments can reduce reproductive success of vertebrates if their own reproductive phenology does not also advance with warming. Indirect evidence from large-scale analyses suggests, however, that migratory vertebrates might compensate for this by tracking phenological variation across landscapes. Results from our two-year warming experiment combined with seven years of observations of plant phenology and offspring production by caribou (R… Show more

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Cited by 160 publications
(136 citation statements)
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“…During the growing season, concurrent growth and flowering across the landscape could alter species interactions, increasing competition for limiting resources and pollinators and changing landscape-scale gene flow via pollination. Decreased spatial variation in plant phenology can also reduce foraging success by large herbivores with consequences for offspring production (43). Thus, the atmospheric transport of desert dust is a process that links human activities in desert ecosystems (7) to changes in phenology in alpine landscapes, which could affect biotic interactions and nutrient cycling by synchronizing phenology across the tundra.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…During the growing season, concurrent growth and flowering across the landscape could alter species interactions, increasing competition for limiting resources and pollinators and changing landscape-scale gene flow via pollination. Decreased spatial variation in plant phenology can also reduce foraging success by large herbivores with consequences for offspring production (43). Thus, the atmospheric transport of desert dust is a process that links human activities in desert ecosystems (7) to changes in phenology in alpine landscapes, which could affect biotic interactions and nutrient cycling by synchronizing phenology across the tundra.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Global warming is triggering changes in plant phenology [1][2][3][4][5][6][7] and it is feared that these changes may precipitate devastating changes in animal distribution (e.g., pests), alter the synchronization between species, and have feedback effects on the climate system through the alteration of biogeochemical and physical processes of vegetated land surface [8,9]. However, despite these conceivable but alarming consequences, we do not know where in space and time most intense phenological changes are happening.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 97%
“…Synchrony in reproduction can improve chances of mate-finding (Augspurger 1981;Reed et al 2009) and offspring survival (Ims 1990;Kelly & Sork 2002), but it also increases competition for resources. Less obviously, decreased variance in phenology at one trophic level can affect higher trophic levels, which may depend on the food supply being more evenly distributed in time-that is, having higher among-individual or among-plot variability in phenological events (Post et al 2008). Changes in population and communitylevel synchrony in response to warming temperatures are worth monitoring because of these potential effects on demography and ecosystem processes .…”
Section: Characterizing Phenologies At the Population Levelmentioning
confidence: 99%