Two scenarios for 5G deployment in Indonesia

Abstract

While some other countries had started their 5G deployment with excellent business use cases, Indonesia is restrained for a moment due to the unreadiness of 5G actors. Several factors which still need attention from 5G actors in Indonesia are telecommunication infrastructures such as spectrum frequency and transport, policy and regulation, innovation ecosystem and social impact. Despite those concerning factors, there are also key drivers that stimulate the 5G deployment in Indonesia. They are demand and needs from end customers, cost reduction and additional revenue stream from mobile network operator, industry automation and country competitive advantage. Two scenarios are built using those key drivers following the scenario-based planning methodology. The scenarios are called The Optimistic Champion and The Wait and Respond.

Policy Choices Can Help Keep 4G and 5G Universal Broadband Affordable

“…The simulation method is based on scenario analysis, which enables 'what-if' questions to be tested (Chen et al, 2020;Jefferson, 2020;Kayser and Shala, 2020;Kishita et al, 2020;Meadows and O'Brien, 2020). Scenario analysis is a common approach to explore technology futures (where historical experience is not a dependable guide to the future) and provides useful insight into the comparative performance of different decision options, especially for policy (Crawford, 2019;Frith and Tapinos, 2020;Gordon, 2020;Hutajulu et al, 2020;Metz and Hartley, 2020;Wright et al, 2020).…”

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“…In business areas such as finance or human resources, and also in studies related to the environment, the scenario planning technique is applied to understand future contingencies about a local or national problem. In the field of technology, scenario planning is also valid, for example in Indonesia, Hutajulu et al established two scenarios for 5G implementation, a model that was designed by analyzing the respondents' ideas [Hutajulu et al, 2020]. As with other tools of strategic foresight, scenario planning allows decision makers to establish a course of action, predict the effects, and incorporate strategic resources in order to achieve a significant competitive position [Rohrbeck, 2012;Peter, Jarratt, 2015;Gavetti, Menon, 2016].…”

Kelebihan, Kekurangan, Peluang Teknologi 5G di Indonesia

“…Evolusi jaringan akses radio dari generasi pertama (1G) hingga generasi kelima (5G), berdasarkan laporan Ericsson Mobility Reports 2017 terkait dengan standardisasi pengelolaan jaringan 5G adalah upaya yang berkelanjutan, banyak penelitian bidang industri dikhususkan untuk menemukan kecocokan standardisasi yang sesuai, termasuk menyeimbangkan kinerja sistem, fleksibilitas, dan implikasi implementasi, termasuk pengujian over-the-air (OTA), sistem antena gelombang milimeter (mm-wave), serta array yang dieksplorasi dengan kesesuaiannya untuk 5G (Mattisson, 2018). Sementara beberapa negara telah memulai penggunaan 5G secara luas, Indonesia tertahan sejenak karena ketidaksiapan para pelaku (provider) 5G (Hutajulu et al, 2020), sehingga sangat menarik apabila dikaji lebih jauh mengenai kelebihan dan kekurangan teknologi 5G serta peluangnya di masa depan. Berdasarkan hal tersebut, artikel ini akan mengulas sejauh mana kelebihan dan kekurangan teknologi 5G yang ada di Indonesia serta peluang teknologi 5G di masa depan berdasarkan studi literatur yang relevan.…”

“…Terlepas dari faktor-faktor tersebut, ada juga pendorong utama yang mendorong penerapan 5G di Indonesia, antara lain permintaan dan kebutuhan dari pelanggan akhir, pengurangan biaya dan aliran pendapatan tambahan dari operator jaringan seluler (provider), otomatisasi industri dan keunggulan kompetitif negara. Dua skenario ini dibangun menggunakan metodologi perencanaan berbasis skenario "The Optimis Champion" dan "The Wait and Respond" (Hutajulu et al, 2020).…”