Transfers in an aging European Union

Kluge, Fanny A.; Goldstein, Joshua R.; Vogt, Tobias

doi:10.1016/j.jeoa.2018.07.004

Cited by 25 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 48 publications

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“…With increasingly flexible later-life working arrangements, the cut-off of 65 years of age is progressively becoming less descriptive of a population's real productivity (Vaupel and Loichinger 2006;Lee et al 2014). Ideally, we would want to use estimates for population consumption and production age curves at regional level, similar to the National Transfer Accounts estimated for countries (Kupiszewski 2013;Vargha et al 2017;Kluge et al 2019). Unfortunately, these estimates are not yet available at the regional level, which is the focus of this study on urban-rural differences.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Unequally ageing regions of Europe: Exploring the role of urbanization

2020

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Since young adults tend to move from rural to urban regions, whereas older adults move from urban to rural regions, we may expect to see increasing differences in population ageing across urban and rural regions. This paper examines whether trends in population ageing across urban and rural NUTS-2 regions of the EU-27 have diverged over the period 2003-13. We use the methodological approach of convergence analysis, quite recently brought to demography from the field of economic research. Unlike classical beta and sigma approaches to convergence, we focus not on any single summary statistic of convergence, but rather analyse the whole cumulative distribution of regions. Such an approach helps to identify which specific group of regions is responsible for the major changes. Our results suggest that, despite expectations, there was no divergence in age structures between urban and rural regions; rather, divergence happened within each of the groups of regions.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Unequally ageing regions of Europe: Exploring the role of urbanization

2020

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“…Various theoretical and empirical studies have shown that population ageing – that is, changes in the population age structure that result in a shrinking relative size of the working age population – has a negative effect on economic growth (Bloom & Williamson ; Prskawetz et al ; Bloom et al ; Crespo Cuaresma et al ; van der Gaag & De Beer ). A decline in the size of the working age population has a downward effect on GDP per capita, whereas an increase in the number of elderly citizens has an upward effect on costs of pensions and care (Kluge ; van Nimwegen ; Kluge et al ). Other things equal, a decrease in the share of the working age population slows down the economic growth of a region (Teixeira et al ).…”

Section: Theoretical Considerations and The Proposed Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic Convergence In Ageing Europe

Kashnitsky

Beer

Wissen

2019

Tijd voor Econ & Soc Geog

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European regions experience accelerating ageing, but the process has substantial regional variation. This paper examines the effect of this variation on regional economic cohesion in Europe. We measure the effect of convergence or divergence in the share of the working age population on convergence or divergence in economies of NUTS 2 regions. The effect of convergence or divergence in ageing on economic convergence or divergence is quite substantial and, in some cases, is bigger than the effect of changes in productivity and labour force participation. Convergence of ageing leads to economic convergence only when the share of the working age population in rich regions exceeds that in poor regions and the former regions experience a substantial decline in the share of the working age population, or the latter regions experience an increase. During 2003-12, an inverse relationship between convergence in ageing and economic convergence was the rule rather than the exception.

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“…changes in the population age structure that result in a shrinking relative size of the working age population -has a negative effect on economic growth (Bloom and Williamson, 1998;Bloom et al, 2010;Crespo Cuaresma et al, 2014b;Prskawetz et al, 2007;Van Der Gaag and De Beer, 2015). A decline in the size of the working age population has a downward effect on GDP per capita, whereas an increase in the number of elderly citizens has an upward effect on costs of pensions and care (Kluge, 2013;Kluge et al, 2018;Van Nimwegen, 2013).…”

Section: Theoretical Considerations and The Proposed Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%