2014
DOI: 10.1002/2014gl060843
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Toward homogenization of Mediterranean lagoons and their loss of hydrodiversity

Abstract: Lagoons are considered to be the most valuable systems of the Mediterranean coastal area, with crucial ecological, historical, economical, and social relevance. Climate change strongly affects coastal areas and can deeply change the status of transitional areas like lagoons. Herein we investigate the hydrological response of 10 Mediterranean lagoons to climate change by means of numerical models. Our results suggest that Mediterranean lagoons amplify the salinity and temperature changes expected for the open s… Show more

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Cited by 62 publications
(41 citation statements)
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“…An overall trend in increasing precipitation (especially in winter) for Northern Europe, as well as decreasing precipitation (especially in summer) in the South is mentioned in several publications [4,6,7], and it was also detected in this study. Due to the fact that water limited ecosystems are highly vulnerable to changing climate conditions [56], the robust climate change signals produced by a range of global and regional models suggest that the Mediterranean region and the lagoons located there might be especially vulnerable to climate change [57,58].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…An overall trend in increasing precipitation (especially in winter) for Northern Europe, as well as decreasing precipitation (especially in summer) in the South is mentioned in several publications [4,6,7], and it was also detected in this study. Due to the fact that water limited ecosystems are highly vulnerable to changing climate conditions [56], the robust climate change signals produced by a range of global and regional models suggest that the Mediterranean region and the lagoons located there might be especially vulnerable to climate change [57,58].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A variety of lagoons, even in a similar geographical region like the Mediterranean, have a high hydrodynamic and/or saline variability, depending on their morphology and the location and number of river inflows and sea-water inlets influencing the water renewal time [67,68]. Therefore lagoons react differently to climate change with a trend to homogenize hydrodynamic and saline characteristics and to lose hydrodiversity, mainly due to increased inflow of sea water following the sea level rise [17,58]. As northern European lagoons are generally more influenced by river discharge due to the wet climate and the significantly higher runoff coefficients compared to the southern Mediterranean coastal areas [67], climate changes in the lagoon catchments and the resulting changes in river discharge will probably have greater effects on such lagoons fed by permanently flowing rivers than on lagoons located in dry climate.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The SHYFEM-3D model was already successfully applied to different coastal ecosystems (Ferrarin and Umgiesser 2005;Cucco and Umgiesser 2006;Cucco et al 2009;Erturk et al 2007; Fig. 1 Site study: a toponomastic, b numerical grid domain, c interpolated bathymetry, d position of the fresh water inputs, e temperature and salinity data stations Ferrarin et al 2008;Bellafiore and Umgiesser 2008;Ferrarin et al 2010;Ghezzo et al 2010;Bellafiore et al 2011) and in particular to the Taranto Seas in its twodimensional version (Scroccaro et al 2004a;Umgiesser et al 2007) and 3D version Ferrarin et al 2014).…”
Section: Shyfem-3d Hydrodynamic Model Setupmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…De Serio et al (2007) already started to investigate the importance of baroclinic terms for the Taranto Seas in three-dimensional (3D) space, simulating a short-time period and using simplified forcings. In Umgiesser et al (2014) and Ferrarin et al (2014), a 3D, annual and baroclinic model simulation of the Taranto basin was performed, but focusing on mixing capacity and comparison with other Mediterranean lagoons.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The model has been applied with success in several applications and case studies in the Mediterranean Sea basin aimed to investigate and predict both open ocean and coastal hydrodynamics and to evaluate their mutual interactions (Bellafiore et al, 2008(Bellafiore et al, , 2011Cucco et al, 2009;Melaku et al, 2012;Ferrarin et al, 2013aFerrarin et al, , 2014Simeone et al, 2014;Umgiesser et al, 2014;Cucco and Umgiesser, 2015;Quattrocchi et al, 2016;Cucco et al, 2016).…”
Section: The Hydrodynamic Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%