“…Encroachment by grasses (Werkman and Callaghan, 2002) and elevated nitrogen leaching Gorissen et al, 2004;Schmidt et al, 2004) are also likely. In southern Europe, warming and, particularly, increased drought, are likely to lead to reduced plant growth and primary productivity (Ogaya et al, 2003;Llorens et al, 2004), reduced nutrient turnover and nutrient availability Peñuelas 2004, 2005), altered plant recruitment (Lloret et al, 2004;Quintana et al, 2004), changed phenology (Llorens and Peñuelas, 2005), and changed species interactions (Maestre and Cortina, 2004;Lloret et al, 2005). Shrubland fires are likely to increase due to their higher propensity to burn (Vázquez and Moreno, 2001;Mouillot et al, 2005;Nunes et al, 2005;Salvador et al, 2005).…”