The performance of Chinese and Brazilian exports to Latin America, 1994-2009

In recent years concerns have been raised over the impact of Chinese competition on Latin American exports, particularly those from Mexico. This article shows that Brazilian manufactured exports too have been negatively affected, and that this has been reflected in the “primarization” of Brazilian exports and a declining share in the import markets of its major customers. A variety of different indicators were used to analyse the extent to which Brazilian exports have faced competition from China. Constant Market Share analysis was then applied to estimate the quantitative significance of Chinese competition for Brazilian exports. This shows that Brazil has lost markets to China in the USA, in the EU and in its major Latin American markets, particularly since 2004. This has occurred not only in low-technology products but also increasingly in high-technology products, and Brazil has not been able to compensate for losses to China through increasing exports of more sophisticated products. It was also found that Chinese competition intensified in the Latin American market following the global financial crisis

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Is Chinese Competition Causing Deindustrialization in Brazil?

Jenkins¹

2015

Latin American Perspectives

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There has been a lively debate in Brazil in recent years, involving sectors of business, the labor movement, and academics, over deindustrialization and the future of the manufacturing sector. This is often linked to the growing relation between Brazil and China, which is now the country’s most significant trade partner. Brazil has experienced relative deindustrialization in the sense of a declining share of the manufacturing sector in gross domestic product that is mainly attributable to the changes in the country’s trade balance in manufactures. The direct and indirect impacts of China on Brazilian manufacturing have contributed to this relative deindustrialization

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The performance of Chinese and Brazilian exports to Latin America, 1994-2009

Cited by 3 publications

References 19 publications

Exports of manufactured goods and structural change: Brazil in the face of Chinese competition

Exports of manufactured goods and structural change: Brazil in the face of Chinese competition

Chinese Competition and Brazilian Exports of Manufactures

Is Chinese Competition Causing Deindustrialization in Brazil?

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