1990
DOI: 10.1037/0278-6133.9.6.701
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The natural history of cigarette smoking: Predicting young-adult smoking outcomes from adolescent smoking patterns.

Abstract: Assessed the magnitude of risk that adolescent cigarette smoking carries for adult smoking. Using a longitudinal, prospective design, results indicate that even infrequent experimentation in adolescence significantly raises the risk for adult smoking and that regular (at least monthly) adolescent smoking raises the risk for adult smoking by a factor of 16 compared to nonsmoking adolescents. Relative risk was also increased by an early onset of smoking and by a stable, uninterrupted course from experimentation … Show more

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Cited by 379 publications
(282 citation statements)
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“…Over the past few decades cancer has become the leading cause of death across many Asian countries (Chassin et al, 1990). Different countries utilize different systems or strategies to manage this growing problem (Mahari, 2011).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Over the past few decades cancer has become the leading cause of death across many Asian countries (Chassin et al, 1990). Different countries utilize different systems or strategies to manage this growing problem (Mahari, 2011).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…First, there are the negative health effects associated with use of cigarettes and alcohol in adolescence (Burr, Anderson, Austin, Harkins, Kaur & Strachan, et al, 1999), which may not occur until adulthood (Brick, 2004;Brook, Brook, Zhang & Cohen, 2004). Second, early use of a substance in adolescence is related to substance abuse or dependence in adulthood (Chassin, Presson, Sherman & Edwards, 1990;Gruber, DiClemente, Anderson & Lodico, 1996). Hence, the identification of early risk factors associated with adolescent substance use is essential to prevent or postpone use in adolescence and improve the health of youth.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, tobacco smoking in adolescence predicts a more severe and protracted course of tobacco dependence in adulthood. [4][5][6] In addition, earlyonset substance users are at greater risk for later abuse, aggression, and delinquency, 7,8 as well as subsequent drug problems. 9,10 Currently, nearly 1 in 5 high school seniors smokes every day, 11 whereas Ͼ90% of 17-yearolds have experimented at least once with tobacco (68%), alcohol (88%), marijuana (53%), or other drugs (31%).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%