The impact of changes in the volume of freight and passenger transportation by water on the GDP of Ukraine

Gryshchenko, V.F.; Gryshchenko, Iryna

doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202125501036

Cited by 7 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…The relevance of the economicmathematical forecasting model (Gryshchenko & Gryshchenko, 2021) of the relationship between GDP and freight traffic by WT in Ukraine decreases significantly with fluctuations in risk over time. The two-object model of freight chain formation using multipurpose algorithms based on the Pareto method (Mogale et al, 2019) does not take into account dynamic processes.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Risk Assessment of Water Transport Enterprises by Modeling Direct and Indirect Threats

Kotenko

Ilchenko

KASIANOVA

et al. 2023

ees

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Introduction. The methods of traffic modeling by water transport and assessing the risks associated with it is needed to identify the issues of the past period, proposing methods for assessing not only direct but also indirect risks to form the preconditions for preventing them in the postwar reconstruction. The coordination of different transport type’s actions of transport requires an assessment of risks impact of the previous stages of mixed transportation on the formation of the following risks’ stages. Existing methods of assessing such impact need to be improved. Aim and tasks. The aim of this study is creation of methodological approach to risk management in water transport based on a mathematical model for assessing the impact of both direct and indirect risks. The tasks are: to prove that the additive approach of taking risks into account leads to the systematic deviation appearance from the result; take into account the impact on the risk of cargo transportation. Results. It has proved that the calculation of risk as an additive function leads to a systematic deviation from the relevant result. It stated that the risk of each of the next stages of transportation depends on the risks of the previous stages. To increase risk analysis relevance in water transport, the use of an oriented graph in a multidimensional parameter space proposed. It stated that in order to calculate the integrated risk, it is essential building not only the risk matrix but also the risk incidence matrix to take into account their relation to business entities. It established the impact of even minor risks could take the form of a catastrophe, which leads to cargo flows reorientation. It established that: for calculation of integral risk, it is crucial consider direct and indirect influences of risks; risk calculation for water transport also requires risk analysis in related modes of transport. Conclusions. It was established that, when calculating integral risk, it is necessary to consider direct and indirect influences on risks and that the risk calculation for water transport also requires risk analysis in related modes of transport. The proposed approach significantly increases the relevance of water transport risk analysis and allows for managing changes in transportation routes in real time.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Risk Assessment of Water Transport Enterprises by Modeling Direct and Indirect Threats

Kotenko

Ilchenko

KASIANOVA

et al. 2023

ees

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“…Significant scientific achievements in the development of theoretical foundations in the field of public water transport management have been made by domestic and foreign scientists: S.V. Problems of increasing the efficiency of public administration of the competitiveness of the transport complex by formalizing economic approaches to the realization of the transit potential of the country and the introduction of mathematization of economic estimates devoted to the work of many domestic scientists and practitioners, including V. Hryshchenko, I. Hryshchenko [1], S. Kotenko, V. Kasianova, L. Dondych [2], N. Maslii, Yu.Zhdanova [3], M. Demianchuk [4], S. Ilchenko, N. Khumarova [5] etc.…”

Section: результати у роботі узагальнено підходи формування системи д...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Formation of Economic Rationality of Interaction of Elements of the System of Public Governance of Water Transport in New Conditions

Kotenko¹,

KASIANOVA²,

KENS³

2022

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Topicality. Significant changes in geopolitical conditions in the Black Sea region, in particular, and the world as a whole leads to a radical redistribution of trade flows, markets. This process causes changes in the market of transport services. There are trends in the ratio of competitiveness of the Black Sea ports. These changes and the accompanying dynamic processes occur in real time. In order for Ukraine's economy to respond appropriately to such dynamic changes, there is an urgent need to establish clear guidelines, unambiguous criteria and formulate proposals to ensure a high degree of adaptability of the public administration system to rapid changes in external and internal conditions.Aim and tasks. The aim of the work is scientific substantiation and development of methodical bases of interaction of elements of system of state management of water transport in new conditions, offer of recommendations of organizational character on increase of adaptability of management process at maintenance of rationality of interaction of all elements of management system. Achieving the goal of the study necessitated the formulation and solution of the following tasks: to propose numerical criteria for the economic rationality of the interaction of the management system; develop a model; to substantiate the algorithm of state management of water transport for its specific field of activity for assessing the levels of efficiency and rationality of management measures.Research results. The paper summarizes the approaches to the formation of the state water transport management system with the appropriate degree of adaptability to rapid changes in external and internal conditions, offers criteria for economic efficiency and rationality of water transport management and justifies their choice, applied analysis of the need for management measures cargo and to increase the efficiency of interaction of adjacent modes of transport.Conclusion. It established that intermodal and multimodal cargo transportation (IMCT) is the most promising area of modernization of transport infrastructure, a tool for operational testing of new routes, a means to enter promising markets for transport services, and a mechanism for creating a new level of competitiveness of water transport in Ukraine.The study established the criteria for the appropriate level of efficiency and rationality of management efforts in the field of water transport. It stated that these criteria should be numerical rather than qualitative for greater objectivity. Criteria of economic efficiency and rationality specified for the field of IMCT. The algorithm of public management of IMCT with proper and relevant assessment of the levels of efficiency and rationality of management measures is offered. The obtained results of the research allow achieving the necessary levels of economic rationality of the interaction of the elements of the system of state management of water transport in the new conditions.

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“…The aim of Goal Quality Education is to improve the quality of higher education and to ensure its strong linkages with science, to contribute to the formation of cities of education and science in a country. In addition, it is known due to the analysis of a significant number of literature sources and studies [11], [18], [33], that the GDP indicator is the main indicator while assessing sustainable development and economic growth.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Country’s Economic Growth and Rankings of Higher Education Institutions: Is There a Relationship?

Dreval¹,

Martynets²,

Opanasiuk³

et al. 2022

TEM Journal

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The components of the chain of influence of the HEI ranking on the economic growth of the country are studied in the article. The relation between the keywords university, rankings and economic was found based on the bibliometric analysis. Based on correlation and regression analysis, there has been proved the relation between the components of interaction in the chain: Total overall ranking score of universities in the country – number of FTE students enrolled in country’s rated HEIs – number of country’s rated Universities – GDP of the country. The confirmation of the obtained calculations is a questionnaire survey carried out among the students of the HEIs. The results of the questionnaire survey indicate the existence of the influence of the HEI ranking on the number of students enrolled in educational institutions of the studied country. Thus, based on correlation and regression analysis and sociological research, the article proves the hypothesis about the existence of the influence of the HEI ranking on the economic growth of the country.

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The impact of changes in the volume of freight and passenger transportation by water on the GDP of Ukraine

Cited by 7 publications

References 9 publications

Risk Assessment of Water Transport Enterprises by Modeling Direct and Indirect Threats

Risk Assessment of Water Transport Enterprises by Modeling Direct and Indirect Threats

Formation of Economic Rationality of Interaction of Elements of the System of Public Governance of Water Transport in New Conditions

A Country’s Economic Growth and Rankings of Higher Education Institutions: Is There a Relationship?

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