The Hinterland's Stake in Metropolitan Growth: Evidence from Selected Southern Regions

Abstract

In this article we extend the Carlino and Mills and Boarnet models of local development to test for the presence and direction of rural area linkages to urban areas in Functional Economic Areas (FEAs). In a sample of southern FEAs, we detect a mix of spillover and backwash effects from urban core and fringe areas to their rural hinterlands. Rural-area population and employment both grew faster than average between 1980 and 1990 if in an FEA with a pattern of urban decentralization.

Long-term impacts of transport infrastructure networks on land-use change: an international review of empirical studies

“…Chi (2010), examining the effects of highway "expansions" on population change in Wisconsin during the 1980s and 1990s, suggests that highway expansions mostly influenced population increase in suburban areas, thereby strengthening suburbanisation. On the other hand, Henry et al (1997) report that the initial stock of highways at 1980 was unrelated with population growth in rural hinterland tracts in South Carolina, Georgia and North Carolina during the 1980s. Meanwhile, McMillen and Lester (2003) contend that population density growth between 1970 and 2000 was lower within a third of a mile of highway interchanges than other locations in the Chicago metropolitan area.…”

“…Other studies, however, do not find evidence of a significant relation between highways and employment. Henry et al (1997), for example, conclude that the density of highways in 1980 was not a significant factor in attracting employment growth during the 1980s, and Arauzo-Carod (2007) finds no significant relationship between TINs (road or rail) and the distribution of professional groups of population and workers across the territory.…”

Predicting the distribution of households and employment: a seemingly unrelated regression model with two spatial processes

“…However, other studies using different time lags and geographic scales (e.g. , Henry et al 1997, and Vias and Mulligan 1999, provide mixed evidence, and little work has considered the interactions between jobs and population at finer spatial scales, such as the TAZs used here. This work addresses that challenge, while allowing for spatial interactions and correlations among unobserved factors influencing household and employment intensities over space.…”

An Application of the Disequilibrium Adjustment Framework to Small Area Forecasting and Impact Analysis

“…They find no substantial effect of the transit system on the growth (i.e., population and total employment), while it appears that the system "has altered the composition of employment in favor of the public sector … in those areas with high levels of commercial activity" (p. 202). Henry, Barkley, and Bao (1997), mentioned above, pay attention to rural development factors as well as the spatial linkages among urban, suburban, and rural areas. In the study, a variety of local amenity features (infrastructure, public service, housing, labor force, school quality, etc) are considered using a set of representative variables (p.486-487), in order to come up with policy recommendations for rural area development.…”

“…Carlino and Mills 1987;Boarnet 1994b;Clark and Murphy 1996;Vias 1999) to the studies on the spatial linkages (see e.g. Henry et al 1997Henry et al , 1999Henry et al , and 2001Feser and Isserman 2005) and the investigations on development policy issues (see e.g. Bollinger and Ihlanfeldt.…”