The coffee rust crises in Colombia and Central America (2008–2013): impacts, plausible causes and proposed solutions

Avelino, Jacques; Cristancho, Marco; Georgiou, Selena; Imbach, Pablo; Aguilar, Lorena; Bornemann, Gustavo; Läderach, Peter; Anzueto, Francisco; Hruska, Allan J.; Morales, Carmen Soledad

doi:10.1007/s12571-015-0446-9

Cited by 407 publications

(224 citation statements)

References 45 publications

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“…Although we did not analyze the effects of climate variability on coffee production, it is very important as shown, for example, by Avelino et al (2015) for the case of climate variability, which was an important factor to trigger the coffee rust crisis in Colombia and Central America. We argue that in addition to the strategies listed in Table 2, strategies will be needed to cope with climate variability and changes in soil properties that result from land degradation and climate change.…”

Section: Two-dimensional Adaptation Framework In Space and Time Of Comentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time

et al. 2016

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Coffee is grown in more than 60 tropical countries on over 11 million ha by an estimated 25 million farmers, most of whom are smallholders. Several regional studies demonstrate the climate sensitivity of coffee (Coffea arabica) and the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability, yield, increased pest and disease pressure and farmers' livelihoods. The objectives of this paper are (i) to quantify the impact of progressive climate change to grow coffee and to produce high quality coffee in Nicaragua and (ii) to develop an adaptation framework across time and space to guide adaptation planning. We used coffee location and cup quality data from Nicaragua in combination with the Maxent and CaNaSTA crop suitability models, the WorldClim historical data and the CMIP3 global circulation models to predict the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability and quality. We distinguished four different impact scenarios: Very high (coffee disappears), high (large negative changes), medium (little negative changes) and increase (positive changes) in climate suitability. During the Nicaraguan coffee roundtable, most promising adaptation strategies were identified, which we then used to develop a two-dimensional adaptation framework for coffee in time and space. Our analysis indicates that incremental adaptation may occur over

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Section: Two-dimensional Adaptation Framework In Space and Time Of Comentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time

et al. 2016

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“…Since 2012, atypical outbreaks of coffee rust have spread throughout coffee plantations in Latin America provoking a socio-ecological crisis which has been associated with climate change (Avelino et al 2015;McCook and Vandermeer 2015). This epidemic, caused by the fungus Hemileia vastatrix, has meant increasing losses in the quantity and quality of harvests for coffee producers in Mexico.…”

Section: Box 8 the Coffee Rust Epidemic: An Emerging Challenge To LImentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyzing multilevel governance in Mexico: Lessons for REDD+ from a study of land-use change and benefit sharing in Chiapas and Yucatán

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et al. 2018

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“…Stunted fruits give smaller, lowquality beans, which fetch lower prices. The incidence of pests and diseases can be also be altered by changes in the seasonal patterns of rainfall (Avelino et al 2015). Harvesting coffee is a major cost of production and erratic cycles of flowering and ripening require additional harvests, which can increase costs.…”

Section: Impacts Of Climate Change On Agriculture In Central Americamentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change, ecosystems and smallholder agriculture in Central America: an introduction to the special issue

et al. 2017

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The coffee rust crises in Colombia and Central America (2008–2013): impacts, plausible causes and proposed solutions

Cited by 407 publications

References 45 publications

Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time

Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time

Analyzing multilevel governance in Mexico: Lessons for REDD+ from a study of land-use change and benefit sharing in Chiapas and Yucatán

Climate change, ecosystems and smallholder agriculture in Central America: an introduction to the special issue

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