The 2005 hurricane season: An echo of the past or a harbinger of the future?

Virmani, Jyotika I.; Weisberg, Robert H.

doi:10.1029/2005gl025517

Cited by 30 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 22 publications

(28 reference statements)

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“…5) is likely attributed to the proximal position of the BH, which directed an unusually high number of tropical systems (six) into our study area (Virmani and Weisberg, 2006). The influence of the BH was also felt in the summer of 2007 when the dramatic westward shift of the BH (Fig.…”

Section: Climate Controls Of Rainfall Amount Rainwater and Cave Dripmentioning

confidence: 92%

Oxygen and hydrogen isotopes of rainfall and dripwater at DeSoto Caverns (Alabama, USA): Key to understanding past variability of moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico

Lambert¹,

Aharon²

2010

Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta

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Section: Climate Controls Of Rainfall Amount Rainwater and Cave Dripmentioning

confidence: 92%

Oxygen and hydrogen isotopes of rainfall and dripwater at DeSoto Caverns (Alabama, USA): Key to understanding past variability of moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico

Lambert¹,

Aharon²

2010

Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta

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“…The recent active period of intense hurricanes has triggered a hot debate in the scientific community whether the increase in the frequency and intensity of hurricanes is due to either the natural climate variability such as the El Niñ o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) (Bove et al 1998;Elsner et al 1998;Gray 1984;Shapiro and Goldenberg 1998;Goldenberg et al 2001;Virmani and Weisberg 2006), or the human-induced global warming (Knutson and Tuleya 2004;Emanuel 2005;Webster et al 2005). Several studies suggest that global warming would likely result in SST increase, which may result in an increase in the intensity of tropical cyclones (Tsutsui 2002;Webster et al 2005).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Satellite microwave detected SST anomalies and hurricane intensification

et al. 2007

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Sea surface temperature (SST) from the remotely sensed infrared measurements, like the GOES, AVHRR, and MODIS, etc., show missing values of SST over the cloudy regions associated with hurricanes. While satellite microwave measurements, like the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) microwave imager (TMI), can provide SST even under cloudy conditions. Both satellite microwave measurements and buoy observations show SST increase in advance of significant hurricane intensification. Moreover, hurricane intensification may also be related to the location of high SST. Our results indicate pre-existing high SST anomaly (SSTA) located at the right side of the storm track for Hurricane Katrina. Numerical simulations also confirm the important impacts of SSTA location on hurricane intensification. Similar situations are also found for Hurricanes Rita and Wilma. In contrast, if there is no high SSTA at the right location, hurricane may not undergo further intensification. This may explain why not all tropical cyclones associated with warm waters can attain peak intensity (categories 4 and 5) during their life cycle, and partially explains why hurricanes do not reach the maximum potential intensity as calculated only according to the magnitude of SST.Keywords GOES AE TMI AE IR AE Microwave AE SST AE SST anomaly (SSTA) AE Hurricanes Katrina Rita and Wilma AE Impacts of time and location of SSTA on hurricane intensification IntroductionThe year 2005 is a record-breaking year for Atlantic Hurricanes. There were 28 named storms and 15 hurricanes, including three Category 5 hurricanes, Katrina, Rita, and the strongest hurricane on record in the Atlantic basin: Wilma. Katrina

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“…The daily upper ocean heat balance is calculated (Virmani and Weisberg 2006) with the following reanalysis data:…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Thermal changes are calculated in the fresh plume area (6-15°N, 55-64°W) using daily net heat balance divided by mixed layer mass and specific heat (Virmani and Weisberg 2006). In the 2009 JASO season, the net heat balance was +32 W/m 2 , while 2010 had +21 W/m 2 under cloudy skies.…”

Section: Monthly To Daily Weathermentioning

confidence: 99%

Inter-annual rainfall variability in the eastern Antilles and coupling with the regional and intra-seasonal circulation

Jury

2015

Theor Appl Climatol

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Climate variability in the eastern Antilles island chain is analyzed via principal component analysis of highresolution monthly rainfall in the period 1981-2013. The second mode reflecting higher rainfall in July-October season between Martinique and Grenada is the focus of this study. Higher rainfall corresponds with a weakened trade wind and boundary current along the southern edge of the Caribbean. This quells the coastal upwelling off Venezuela and builds the freshwater plume east of Trinidad. There is corresponding upper easterly wind flow that intensifies passing tropical waves. During a storm event over the Antilles on 4-5 October 2010, there was inflow from east of Guyana where low salinity and high sea temperatures enable surplus latent heat fluxes. A N-S convective rain band forms ∼500 km east of the cyclonic vortex. Many features at the weather timescale reflect the seasonal correlation and composite difference maps and El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) modulation of oceanic inter-basin transfers.

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The 2005 hurricane season: An echo of the past or a harbinger of the future?

Cited by 30 publications

References 22 publications

Oxygen and hydrogen isotopes of rainfall and dripwater at DeSoto Caverns (Alabama, USA): Key to understanding past variability of moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico

Oxygen and hydrogen isotopes of rainfall and dripwater at DeSoto Caverns (Alabama, USA): Key to understanding past variability of moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico

Satellite microwave detected SST anomalies and hurricane intensification

Inter-annual rainfall variability in the eastern Antilles and coupling with the regional and intra-seasonal circulation

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