Technological Forecasting: Methodology Embrapa Brazilian Company

Abstract

Structural, economic and social changes are present in organizations. One of the strategies for decision-making, which leads to organizational policies, is the construction of feasible and doable technological scenarios that enable innovations to trigger the processes of technological change. This study to analyze the prospect of technological scenarios in the Brazilian Agricultural Research Agency a public organization of Research, Development and Innovation, based on scenario building in its operating environment. For the methodological procedures, a systemic review addressing the problem of searching for qualitative bias was developed. Taking this study's point of view, the research is exploratory and descriptive. The sources of data collection were primary and secondary. The technical consistency of prospective scenarios for the company was highlighted in the results of this study, as this was the object of this analysis. Through the collected data it was possible to verify the inferences between literature and the applied method. [JEL Classification: O310].