Surface modelling of global terrestrial ecosystems under three climate change scenarios

Yue, Tianxiang; Fan, Zemeng; Chen, Chuanfa; Sun, Xuejun; Li, Bai-Lian

doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.11.026

Cited by 58 publications

(43 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…The concentration is now approximately 390 part per million (ppm), as compared to 310 ppm in 1955 (Song, 2006). Over the same period, the atmospheric temperature has increased by roughly 0.6-0.74 ºC and has resulted in numerous effects on the environment, climate (Odling-Smee, 2007;Rout et al, 2008;Tomkiewicz, 2006), ecosystems (Yue et al, 2010) and (consequently) human populations (Simões et al, 2010). For example, growing seasons are becoming longer with the consequence that the amount of carbon accumulating in terrestrial biomass increased by a factor of 7 between the 1980s and the 1990s.…”

Section: The Co 2 Balancementioning

confidence: 99%

The Challenge of Bioenergies: An Overview

Carels¹

2011

Biofuel's Engineering Process Technology

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Section: The Co 2 Balancementioning

confidence: 99%

The Challenge of Bioenergies: An Overview

Carels¹

2011

Biofuel's Engineering Process Technology

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“…Desert areas would have a decreasing trend until 2039 and an increasing trend afterwards. Yue et al (2011) also mention that ecological diversity would have a continuously decreasing trend under all three scenarios.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Compared to the other authors, Yue et al (2011) use a very detailed classification of biome types in their study, the Holdridge life zone model. As a consequence, much more vegetation types are mentioned.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation Distribution No. 1 -- Climate Change Induced Vegetation Shifts in the Palearctic Region

Garamvölgyi¹

2013

Appl Ecol Env Res

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Abstract. Global average temperature has increased and precipitation pattern has altered over the past 100 years due to increases in greenhouse gases. These changes will alter numerous site factors and biochemical processes of vegetative communities such as nutrient and water availability, permafrost thawing, fire regime, biotic interactions and invasion. As a consequence, climate change is expected to alter distribution ranges of many species and communities as well as boundaries of biomes. Shifting of species and vegetation zones northwards and upwards in elevation has already been observed. Besides, several experiments have been conducted and simulations have been run all over the world in order to predict possible range shifts and ecological risks. In this paper, we review literature available in Web of Science on Europe and boreal Eurasia and give an overview of observed and predicted changes in vegetation in these regions. The main trends include advance of the tree line, reduction of the alpine vegetation belt, drought risk, forest diebacks, a shift from coniferous forests to deciduous forests and invasion. It is still controversial if species migration will be able to keep pace with climate change.

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“…Xu et al (2013) designed three scenarios of baseline, economic development and ecological conservation based on socio-economic development, and explored the possible trends of China's land use change according to the three scenarios with different parameters by applying the Agriculture-Land-Use module and Edmonds-ReillyBarnes module of global change assessment model (GCAM model). Three future scenarios of global terrestrial ecosystems during the periods of 2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 were developed by Yue et al (2011), based on a high accuracy and speed method (HASM) of surface modelling. Applying observed temperature data of 2766 weather stations scattered over the world, the regression formulations among temperature, elevation and latitude are simulated.…”

Section: Spatial and Temporal Patterns Of Lulcc In Different Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The climatic impacts of land use and land cover change compared among countries

et al. 2016

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(1947-), Professor, specialized in remote sensing of natural resources and environment, land use and land cover change and ecological effects at macro-scale. E-mail: liujy@igsnrr.ac Abstract: Land use and land cover change (LULCC) strongly influence regional and global climate by combining both biochemical and biophysical processes. However, the biophysical process was often ignored, which may offset the biogeochemical effects, so measures to address climate change could not reach the target. Thus, the biophysical influence of LULCC is critical for understanding observed climate changes in the past and potential scenarios in the future. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the mechanisms and effects of large-scale LULCC on climate change through changing the underlying surface, and thus the energy balance. The key scientific issues on understanding the impacts of human activities on global climate that must be addressed including: (1) what are the basic scientific facts of spatial and temporal variations of LULCC in China and comparative countries? (2) How to understand the coupling driving mechanisms of human activities and climate change on the LULCC and then to forecasting the future scenarios? (3) What are the scientific mechanisms of LULCC impacts on biophysical processes of land surface, and then the climate? (4) How to estimate the contributions of LULCC to climate change by affecting biophysical processes of land surface? By international comparison, the impacts of LULCC on climate change at the local, regional and global scales were revealed and evaluated. It can provide theoretical basis for the global change, and have great significance to mitigate and adapt to global climate changes.

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Surface modelling of global terrestrial ecosystems under three climate change scenarios

Cited by 58 publications

References 42 publications

The Challenge of Bioenergies: An Overview

The Challenge of Bioenergies: An Overview

Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation Distribution No. 1 -- Climate Change Induced Vegetation Shifts in the Palearctic Region

The climatic impacts of land use and land cover change compared among countries

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