Abstract:Recent supermultiplier models view autonomous demand as the driver of long‐run growth and as the key stabilizer of Harrodian instability. Attempts to endogenize autonomous demand effectively undermine the existence of a supermultiplier, however, and models with ‘endogenous autonomous demand’ show strong similarities with an earlier literature on feedback effects from the labor markets to aggregate demand. Government consumption could in principle be a source of exogenous autonomous demand in the long run. But … Show more
“…And since then, Hein and Woodgate (2021) have extended the earlier Kaleckian-Harrodian framework to incorporate debt dynamics, but their results suggest that this realistic extension of their model has the effect of further restricting the set of parameters in which stability obtains. Recent elaborations of the Sraffian supermultiplier approach constitute another class of models that generate similar results, but as Skott et al (2021) show, these models are subject to essentially the same criticisms as their Kaleckian-Harrodian counterparts. Therefore, we are left with important questions about the role of NCC demand in long-run economic dynamics.…”
Section: Models Of Ncc-demand-driven Growthmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Recent elaborations of the Sraffian supermultiplier approach constitute another class of models that generate similar results, but as Skott et al. (2021) show, these models are subject to essentially the same criticisms as their Kaleckian‐Harrodian counterparts. Therefore, we are left with important questions about the role of NCC demand in long‐run economic dynamics.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Thus, fluctuations in the growth rate of NCC demand will constantly be knocking the economy out of its steady‐state path; since these fluctuations may be large, and the Kaleckian‐Harrodian steady‐state path is not globally stable, this means that the steady‐state may not have much relevance to the long‐run dynamics. Finally, the conditions for local stability may require that investment exhibits implausibly slow reactions to changes in aggregate demand (Skott et al., 2021, p. 20).…”
Recently economists have developed Kaleckian‐Harrodian models, in which non‐capacity‐creating autonomous demand acts as a stabilizing force that drives long‐run growth. But critics have questioned the plausibility of the stability conditions for these models. Motivated by this controversy, in this paper I formulate an alternative framework, in which stable equilibria need not exist, and solution trajectories can perpetually fluctuate in violent and aperiodic ways, but the long‐run dynamics can be understood in terms of time averages. On this basis I argue that key findings in the Kaleckian‐Harrodian literature can be sustained even if the stability conditions are rejected.
“…And since then, Hein and Woodgate (2021) have extended the earlier Kaleckian-Harrodian framework to incorporate debt dynamics, but their results suggest that this realistic extension of their model has the effect of further restricting the set of parameters in which stability obtains. Recent elaborations of the Sraffian supermultiplier approach constitute another class of models that generate similar results, but as Skott et al (2021) show, these models are subject to essentially the same criticisms as their Kaleckian-Harrodian counterparts. Therefore, we are left with important questions about the role of NCC demand in long-run economic dynamics.…”
Section: Models Of Ncc-demand-driven Growthmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Recent elaborations of the Sraffian supermultiplier approach constitute another class of models that generate similar results, but as Skott et al. (2021) show, these models are subject to essentially the same criticisms as their Kaleckian‐Harrodian counterparts. Therefore, we are left with important questions about the role of NCC demand in long‐run economic dynamics.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Thus, fluctuations in the growth rate of NCC demand will constantly be knocking the economy out of its steady‐state path; since these fluctuations may be large, and the Kaleckian‐Harrodian steady‐state path is not globally stable, this means that the steady‐state may not have much relevance to the long‐run dynamics. Finally, the conditions for local stability may require that investment exhibits implausibly slow reactions to changes in aggregate demand (Skott et al., 2021, p. 20).…”
Recently economists have developed Kaleckian‐Harrodian models, in which non‐capacity‐creating autonomous demand acts as a stabilizing force that drives long‐run growth. But critics have questioned the plausibility of the stability conditions for these models. Motivated by this controversy, in this paper I formulate an alternative framework, in which stable equilibria need not exist, and solution trajectories can perpetually fluctuate in violent and aperiodic ways, but the long‐run dynamics can be understood in terms of time averages. On this basis I argue that key findings in the Kaleckian‐Harrodian literature can be sustained even if the stability conditions are rejected.
“…Answering the critiques, Lavoie (2015) introduced the autonomous demand component to the model and proved the necessary and sufficient conditions to guarantee the needed result. His model has been targeted by the Harrod followers, especially Peter Skott (see Skott (2019) and Skott, Santos, and da Costa Oreiro (2022)), but the debate is not over. Thereby, their works have opened opportunities for an alternative framework that shows up in the debate, which is known as the Sraffian Supermultiplier Model (hereafter SSM).…”
The present paper has the objective to develop three new approaches to Macrodynamics. In the first one, we design a new model where capacity utilization is defined by the difference between population (represented by the sum of activity and unemployed labor force), and capital stock growth rates. Second, we spread unemployment into both, the natural one and the other caused by external reasons. Third, we incorporate the SIR’s (Susceptible, Infectious, or Recovered) approach into the second framework to understand how Pandemics can affect economic behavior. Then, we proved the stable condition of all three cases and also consider a numerical simulation to ensure their economic efficiency. As a result, the first model acts exactly like a post-Keynesian (neo-Kaleckian) expects it to behave (in the short and medium runs it is possible to assume unemployment, but in a long-period full employment is arrived). Despite the convergence of capacity utilization to its normal level, it seems that, in the second case, we will have a time lag of involuntary unemployment. In the third case, when the epidemiological model is considered (if, and only if, the Pandemic is the only reason for unemployment caused by external motives), the model will converge to full employment of factors like in the first case. These models serve as an inspiration to guide policymakers on how to deal with epidemiological crises and their consequences in the labor market.
JEL Classification: N1 , P36
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