2001
DOI: 10.1016/s0167-5877(01)00182-9
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Stochastic modelling as a tool for planning animal-health surveys and interpreting screening-test results

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Cited by 20 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…New manuals and software tools have been made available for this purpose (Cameron 1999). When good estimates of the population structure, individual animal diagnostic test characteristics, the sampling scheme and the epidemiology of the particular disease (condition) are available, simulation models can be constructed to assess the feasibility of a given targeted survey even before it is done, or assist in the interpretation of survey results (Audige¨& Beckett 1999;Audige¨et al 1999aAudige¨et al ,b, 2000Audige¨et al , 2001. One approach is to demonstrate, through stochastic modelling, the ability of a survey to discriminate between a (national) target population that is free of disease, and a population that has a given, albeit low, prevalence.…”
Section: (Iii) Areas For Improvementmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…New manuals and software tools have been made available for this purpose (Cameron 1999). When good estimates of the population structure, individual animal diagnostic test characteristics, the sampling scheme and the epidemiology of the particular disease (condition) are available, simulation models can be constructed to assess the feasibility of a given targeted survey even before it is done, or assist in the interpretation of survey results (Audige¨& Beckett 1999;Audige¨et al 1999aAudige¨et al ,b, 2000Audige¨et al , 2001. One approach is to demonstrate, through stochastic modelling, the ability of a survey to discriminate between a (national) target population that is free of disease, and a population that has a given, albeit low, prevalence.…”
Section: (Iii) Areas For Improvementmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They conclude that the approach is well suited to evaluateöand ranköthe relative e¡ectiveness of a set of surveillance systems (approaches). In a di¡erent approach, prior information on the disease status in a given target population was combined in a Bayesian approach with survey outcomes to derive an a posteriori probability of disease freedom (Audige¨et al 1999a(Audige¨et al , 2000(Audige¨et al , 2001). These and other approaches will be developed further.…”
Section: New Approaches To Improve Mosss For Rare Diseasesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The welfare of each individual animal in these facilities is of primary concern. Management of animals in captivity poses serious challenges that range from animal welfare considerations, space requirements, human skills, veterinary care and visitor satisfaction to financial requirement [1].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They are especially useful for calculating the sample size required for risk-based or targeted surveillance and when disease prevalence and test characteristics are uncertain (51,52). Models are very useful for comparing the likely performance of several different sampling strategies (1,5,25,26), diagnostic tests (34) and combinations of the two before the actual implementation, thus potentially saving time and money.…”
Section: Planning Surveillance Systemsmentioning
confidence: 99%