“…The proportion of declining colonies was higher in period 1991-2000 (average: 66%, 95% CI: 60%-73%) than in [1975][1976][1977][1978][1979][1980][1981][1982][1983][1984][1985][1986][1987][1988][1989][1990] (average: 44%, 95% CI: 38%-50%) and 2001-2010 (average: 58%, 95% CI: 52%-64%), but confidence intervals overlapped between periods 1991-2000 and 2001-2010. 3.2 | Temporal changes in the spring SST effects on kittiwake colony size Previous results indicated that kittiwake decline was more pronounced when spring SST was rapidly warming. Outside the periods of rapid ocean warming, the association between ocean warming and kittiwake dynamics was weaker (Figures 2 and 4) (Frederiksen, Wanless, Harris, Rothery, & Wilson, 2004;Labansen, Merkel, Boertmann, & Nyeland, 2010;Sandvik et al, 2014). Changes in kittiwake population trends tracked changes in trends of spring SST around the colonies and when the ocean warming was faster, the decline in kittiwake colony size was steeper.…”