Spatial autocorrelation and the scaling of species–environment relationships

Knegt, Henrik J. de; Langevelde, Frank van; Coughenour, Michael B.; Skidmore, Andrew K.; Boer, Willem F. de; Heitkönig, Ignas M. A.; Knox, Nichola M.; Slotow, Rob; Waal, C. van der; Prins, Herbert H. T.

doi:10.1890/09-1359.1

Cited by 146 publications

(138 citation statements)

References 67 publications

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“…Model validation ideally requires an independent testset but when the two sets of variables (Figs. 1 and 2) being considered (geographical distributions of taxa and broadscale climatic variables) show strong spatial auto-correlation (Beale et al 2010;de Knegt et al 2010), it is impossible to test a MCR model with an independent test-set (Telford & Birks 2005;) because the geographical position of any test-set used will fall within the geographical range of the primary biological data used in the model (Araújo et al 2005a). To address this issue in an MCR approach applied to beetle data, Bray et al (2006) proposed "to avoid circular reasoning in these experiments (to evaluate the accuracy and sensitivity of the MCR method), care was taken to use only samples of modern beetles that have not previously been used in the construction of the primary MCR database".…”

Section: Strengths and Weaknessesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As in palaeoecology, there is currently a lively debate about the need or otherwise to account for the effects of spatial autocorrelation (e.g. Lennon 2000; Betts et al 2006Betts et al , 2009Beale et al 2007Beale et al , 2010Hawkins et al 2007;Bini et al 2009;Dormann 2009;de Knegt et al 2010) in bioclimate-envelope modelling and other forms of species distribution modelling.…”

Section: Spatial Autocorrelationmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Strengths and Weaknesses of Quantitative Climate Reconstructions Based on Late-Quaternary Biological Proxies

Birks

2011

TOECOLJ

328

284

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Abstract:The importance of reconstructing past environments quantitatively in palaeoecology is reviewed by showing that many ecological questions asked of palaeoecological data commonly involve the reconstructions of past environment. Three basic approaches to reconstructing past climate from palaeoecological data are outlined and discussed in terms of their assumptions, strengths, and weaknesses. These approaches are the indicator-species approach involving bioclimateenvelope modelling; the assemblage approach involving modern analogue techniques and response surfaces; and the multivariate calibration-function approach. Topics common to all approaches are reviewed -presentation and interpretation, evaluation and validation, comparison, and general limitations of climate reconstructions. Challenges and possible future developments are presented and the potential future role of quantitative climate reconstructions in palaeoecology is summarised.

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Section: Strengths and Weaknessesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Spatial Autocorrelationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strengths and Weaknesses of Quantitative Climate Reconstructions Based on Late-Quaternary Biological Proxies

Birks

2011

TOECOLJ

328

284

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“…In conditions of globalization, the informational space acts as: 1) an action system, 2) a system of communications, which are reproduced in the course of constant communicative processes (Knegt et al, 2010). "Ethno-linguo-functional unbalance of human psychic elements predetermines his psychic deadaptation to proper internal and external environment" (Karabulatova & Polivara, 2013, p. 823).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Linguo-Propaedeutics of Ethnic Conflicts as a Basis for Stability in Complex Polyethnic Regions

Zamaletdinov¹,

Karabulatova²,

Yarmakeev³

et al. 2014

ASS

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The purpose of the suggested article is to analyze the ethno-linguo-conflictogenity of the modern world based on desharmonizing environment of globalization phenomenon in such migrant-capacious and ethnically complex regions, as Tatarstan and Tyumen Region. Today we observe a tendency for blending of dissimilar elements not only in the society, but also in the psychic of a definite person. The authors suggest the ethno-linguo-propaedeutics to solve the stabilization problems in complex polyethnic regions. By the example of the Tatarstan Republic and Tyumen Region, the authors show the definite ways to implement the linguistic and national safety. Separate moments of the studied problem were reflected to some extent in the works of culture experts, sociologists, politologists, philosophers, philologers, psychologists and pedagogues. However, in these materials, the study problems of the linguo-propaedeutics, as a guarantor of state integrity, were either not considered at all, or were presented fragmentarily, without any attempts to analyze it thoroughly. The suggested work presents an attempt to solve these problems in a complex approach. The authors reasonably prove that there is a need in a new approach to analyze the preventive problems of ethnic conflicts, based on linguistic transformation methods of mental space of the linguistic personality. The suggested new construct "poly-linguo-cultural linguistic personality" is developed by the authors based on the analysis of speech behavior of bilinguals in Post-Soviet space, who speak Russian, but many elements in their mental worldview are replaced with the foreign national components, even if the Russian variant is present. The authors, for the first time, suggest a new approach for tolerance formation and prevention of interethnic conflicts; they name it as an ethno-psycho-linguo-propaedeutic approach. The suggested approach covers different levels of competences: it involves the linguistic competence itself, ethnolinguistic and sociolinguistic competences at the linguistic level; it involves psychological and ethnopsychological competences at psychological level; it involves linguo-cross-cultural, culturological and common cultural competences at sociocultural level; it involves communicative, social and pedagogical-propaedeutic competences at the communicative-propaedeutic level. Ethno-linguo-propaedeutic approach suggested and brought into practice by the authors, helps to pass on from the ethnocentrism position to cultural relativism. It opens great horizons for the interested representatives of the whole humanitarian science. The authors suggest using both interactive technologies and vivid training work for linguo-propaedeutics of ethnic conflicts. The achievement of the set aim of modern ethno-linguo-propaedeutics is connected with the solution of the following fundamental tasks: 1) to imagine yourself behind the limits of your own ethnocultural area; 2) to understand and realize the variety of the world, we live in,; 3) to get acquainted with d...

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“…the dominant approach to species distribution modeling that advocates accounting for residual SAC using an autocovariate or removing it using spatial filters, thus overlooking the opportunity to investigate the origins of the spatial dependence (Van Teeffelen and Ovaskainen 2007, De Knegt et al 2010, Miller and Franklin 2010.…”

Section: Davis Et Almentioning

confidence: 99%

Accounting for residential propagule pressure improves prediction of urban plant invasion

et al. 2016

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Abstract. Plant invasions substantially impact the ecosystem services provided by forests in urbanizing regions. Knowing where invasion risk is greatest helps target early detection and eradication efforts, but developing an accurate predictive model of invasive species presence and spread on the basis of habitat suitability remains a challenge due to spatial variation in propagule pressure (the number of individuals released) which is likely conflated with suitability. In addition to neighborhood propagule pressure that originates with propagules dispersing from naturalized populations within invaded habitats, we expect residential propagule pressure arising from the widespread use of exotic plants in the yards of single-family residences to be an important driver of invasions, and to notably improve the predictive accuracy of species distribution models (SDMs). To this end, we collected presence/absence data for a widespread forest invader, Ligustrum sinense (Chinese privet), from 400 stratified random plots located along an urban gradient across the Charlotte, North Carolina metropolitan area. We assessed the relative contribution of residential propagule pressure and neighborhood propagule pressure to improving the predictive performance of a probit SDM for Chinese privet that only contains environmental predictors. Our results indicate that, although the environment-only model predicted the highest geographic area to be at risk of invasion by privet, it also had the highest rate of failure to accurately predict observed privet occurrences as indicated by the omission (incorrectly predicted absence) and commission (incorrectly predicted presence) error rates. Accounting for residential propagule pressure substantially improved model performance by reducing the omission error by nearly 50%, thereby improving upon the ability of the model to predict privet invasion in suboptimal habitat. Given that this increase in detection was accompanied by a decrease in the geographic area predicted at risk, we conclude that SDMs for invasive exotic shrubs and potentially for other synanthropic generalist plants may be highly inefficient when residential propagule pressure is not accounted for. Accounting for residential propagule pressure in models of invasive plants results in a more focused and accurate prediction of the area at risk, thus enabling decision makers to feasibly prioritize regional scale monitoring and control efforts.

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Spatial autocorrelation and the scaling of species–environment relationships

Cited by 146 publications

References 67 publications

Strengths and Weaknesses of Quantitative Climate Reconstructions Based on Late-Quaternary Biological Proxies

Strengths and Weaknesses of Quantitative Climate Reconstructions Based on Late-Quaternary Biological Proxies

Linguo-Propaedeutics of Ethnic Conflicts as a Basis for Stability in Complex Polyethnic Regions

Accounting for residential propagule pressure improves prediction of urban plant invasion

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