2013
DOI: 10.1002/ieam.1478
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Selecting surrogate endpoints for estimating pesticide effects on avian reproductive success

Abstract: A Markov chain nest productivity model (MCnest) has been developed for projecting the effects of a specific pesticide-use scenario on the annual reproductive success of avian species of concern. A critical element in MCnest is the use of surrogate endpoints, defined as measured endpoints from avian toxicity tests that represent specific types of effects possible in field populations at specific phases of a nesting attempt. In this article, we discuss the attributes of surrogate endpoints and provide guidance f… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…Current European Union (EU) guidelines for pesticide risk assessment on birds only consider a dietary exposure of adult birds to characterize pesticide effects on avian reproduction . The usefulness of this avian reproduction test to detect certain effects occurring during the breeding phase of wild birds has been questioned. , Bennett and Etterson concluded that none of the endpoints obtained from the toxicity tests routinely included in the risk assessment procedures (e.g., LD 50 , NOAEL for different reproductive variables) was useful to extrapolate the effects on hatching or offspring survival following an external eggshell exposure. Our results support this conclusion because, as mentioned above, we recorded increased chick mortality despite the maximum concentrations of 2,4-D and tebuconazole measured in eggs were several orders of magnitude lower than the avian LD 50 values used to characterize acute toxicity for pesticide registration in the EU.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Current European Union (EU) guidelines for pesticide risk assessment on birds only consider a dietary exposure of adult birds to characterize pesticide effects on avian reproduction . The usefulness of this avian reproduction test to detect certain effects occurring during the breeding phase of wild birds has been questioned. , Bennett and Etterson concluded that none of the endpoints obtained from the toxicity tests routinely included in the risk assessment procedures (e.g., LD 50 , NOAEL for different reproductive variables) was useful to extrapolate the effects on hatching or offspring survival following an external eggshell exposure. Our results support this conclusion because, as mentioned above, we recorded increased chick mortality despite the maximum concentrations of 2,4-D and tebuconazole measured in eggs were several orders of magnitude lower than the avian LD 50 values used to characterize acute toxicity for pesticide registration in the EU.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Bennett and Etterson reviewed some external eggshell exposure studies of bird eggs to pesticides and stated that relating field application rates to actual pesticide masses applied onto the eggs was a challenge in the applicability of those tests to environmental risk assessment. We have addressed this issue by designing our study based on given application rates rather on the pesticide doses received by eggs.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Insecticide induced failures are modeled by the inclusion of daily exposure values from TIM. These values are compared to phase-specific NOAELs for different kinds of adverse effects that might be induced by insecticide exposure such as eggshell thinning, reduced egg viability, reduced hatching success, and increased abandonment [ 10 , 27 ]. Populations with identical parameter values are simulated with replication to provide estimates of variability around model predictions.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The surrogate endpoints for each breeding phase are compared to a specific measure of exposure to determine if the nest attempt continues or fails—essentially a phase‐specific risk quotient (Figure ). The default surrogate endpoints in the Basic Version of MCnest have been modified from those described in Bennett et al () and are described in greater detail in Bennett and Etterson (this issue). Based on recommendations in the European Union (EU) Guidance on Bird and Mammal Risk Assessments (EFSA ), an additional surrogate endpoint derived from the LD50 has been included as an indicator of effects on adult well‐being during all breeding phases except the egg‐laying phase.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A rapid change in body weight during the first 2 weeks of exposure due to changes in food consumption rates or other sublethal effects would indicate adverse effects on adult well‐being that may lead to nest abandonment or reduced nest attentiveness in the field. Bennett and Etterson (this issue) present a more thorough discussion on the strategy for selecting surrogate endpoints in MCnest.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%