Prospects for development of Russian agricultural industry in the context of export-oriented strategy implementation in the agro-industrial complex

Abstract

The research concept consists in the development of theoretical and empirical approaches for analysis and assessment of Russian agricultural production development trends in the context of exportoriented strategy implementation in the agro-industrial complex. The research is conducted using complex of methods of mathematical modeling in economics, including extrapolation methods (linear and non-linear trend models for analyzing the time dynamics of production and economic variables), scenario forecasting, Delphi approach. The projected parameters of the export potential of Russian agricultural production are developed and represented in the paper. Based on the data of 2009-2018, the development state is analyzed and trends become visible of the farm stock structure by farming categories in the Russian Federation and staple food production, including meat, milk, vegetables, potatoes, grain and sunflower. Three forecasting scenarios of staple food production per capita in the Russian Federation for the period up to 2025 are developed and proved (base case, best-case and worst-casescenarios).

Diversity of the agricultural sector of the Russian economy: regularities of formation and development

“…At the same time, the formation of a new trajectory of socioeconomic development of society also causes cardinal shocks in the economic policy of the state. This fact is confirmed by the periods of" perestroika " of the economy of the USSR and modern Russia [1][2][3].…”

Budget support as a tool for innovative and technological development of agriculture in Russia

“…The most popular program among the clients of JSC "Rosagroleasing" is the Renewal Program of the agricultural machinery Fleet (OPT), the conditions of which have no analogues in the market. Farmers are provided with new modern equipment without advance payment with a deferred first payment for 6 months at a preferential rate of 3.0 % per annum [12,13,14]. So, in the framework of the Program of updating of Park of agricultural machinery through JSC "Rosagroleasing" for the 2017-2019 biennium.…”

Export Strategies Of Russian Firms

“…For firms adopting a cost leadership strategy, the relationship between R&D spending and performance is like an inverted Ushape. Kholodova et al (2020) developed theoretical and empirical approaches to the analysis and assessment of trends in Russian agricultural production development in the implementation of the exportoriented strategy of agro-industrial firms. They presented the forecast parameters of the export potential of Russian agricultural products.…”