Prediksi Volatilitas Harga Jual Produk Pada E-Commerce untuk Independent Stockashtic Data Menggunakan Simulasi Monte Carlo

Abstract

<p><em>Perkembangan dan penggunaan inovasi teknologi tersebut juga telah mengubah perilaku masyarakat dari masyarakat industri menuju masyarakat informasi. Perubahan tersebut dapat terlihat dengan adanya peningkatan pola konsumsi masyarakat dari perdagangan melalui toko fisik (offline) beralih ke perdagangan melalui sistem elektronik atau sering disebut sebagai e-commerce. Jasa logistik merupakan pemeran distribusi di lini downstream dimana bertugas untuk mengantarkan produk dari fulfillment center dari suatu e-commerce menuju ke end customer. Jasa logistik dituntut harus dapat melakuan pemenuhan permintaan dari konsumen sesuai dengan service level agreement (SLA). Tidak menentunya jumlah permintaan menjadi tantangan yang paling besar bagi pemeran jasa logistik. Seperti studi kasus yang digunakan pada penelitian ini, PT ABC mengalami overload ketika melakukan pemenuhan permintaan dari e-commerce PT XYZ. Overload tersebut dikarenakan ketidaksiapan PT ABC dalam menangani lonjakan permintaan yang signifikan karena perubahan harga jual Produk A di e-commerce PT XYZ. Pada penelitian ini diusulkan model peramalan harga jual Produk A pada e-commerce PT XYZ menggunakan model Simulasi Monte Carlo Independent Variable. Simulasi dilakukan dengan 1.000 percobaan dan menghasilkan MAPE terendah pada percobaan 322, yaitu, 0,122%.</em></p>

Intelligent Warehouse Picking Improvement Model for e-Logistics Warehouse Using Single Picker Routing Problem and Wave Picking

“…In addition, the warehouse also functions as a point of delivery of goods where all goods are received and shipped effectively and efficiently [23], [24]. In general, the activities and processes in the warehouse that function to increase the value of the functions and benefits of the warehouse consist of: (1) Receiving, (2) Put away, (3) Order Picking, (4) Packaging, (5) Sortation, (6) Unitizing and Shipping [25]. Meanwhile, the processes and activities in e-fulfillment consist of (1) slotting (storage), (2) picking, (3) sorting, (4) packaging (5) delivery processes [11].…”

“…The development and use of technological innovations have changed people's behavior from an industrial society to an information society. These changes can be seen in the increase in people's consumption patterns, from trading through physical stores (offline) to trading through electronic systems, often referred to as e-commerce [1]. The data shows that the number of daily online transactions increased from 3.1 million to 4.8 million.…”

“…Logistics services are required to be able to fulfill requests from consumers in accordance with the service level agreement (SLA). The uncertainty of the number of requests is the biggest challenge for logistics service players [1]. Logistics plays a very important role in increasing the effectiveness and efficiency of the flow of materials and information to meet consumer needs.…”

Development of Automatic Real Time Inventory Monitoring System using RFID Technology in Warehouse

“…Simulation is based on certain assumptions so that the system can be studied scientifically, and simulation is used to imitate the behavior of real systems or certain realities. The simulation aims for training, studying system behavior, entertainment, or games [14].…”