Prediksi Angka Partisipasi Kasar (APK) SD/SMP/SMA dan Sederajat Tahun 2022–2030 Menggunakan Moving Average Kabupaten Jayapura Provinsi Papua

Reba, Felix; Sroyer, Alvian

doi:10.31004/cendekia.v4i2.273

Cited by 2 publications

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“…Berbeda dengan DES, pemulusan kurva dengan TES digunakan untuk pola data yang berbentuk kuadratik, kubik atau berorde tinggi [24]- [29]. Berikut adalah persamaan matematis untuk pemulusan triple exponential smoothing: [30,31] :…”

Section: Metode Tesunclassified

Comparison between Double and Triple Exponential Smoothing Methods for Forecasting Poverty Rate of Yahukimo Regency in 2025-2030

2023

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Currently, the government faces so many issues, one of which is poverty. However, it is not a new thing since many other countries also face this classic issue. Poverty, from an economic point of view, is measured by the people's inability to meet basic needs for food, not food in terms of expenditure. Based on data released by the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) regarding poverty rates in Indonesia, several areas are included in the highest poverty rates including East Nusa Tenggara, Maluku, Gorontalo and Papua. The poverty rates for this region are 21.21%, 17.99%, and 15.99%, respectively. In this regard, Papua has the highest poverty rate of the three provinces. According to BPS, the three poorest districts in Papua Province in 2017 included Deiyai Regency at 43.63%, Intan Jaya Regency at 42.23% and Yahukimo Regency at 39.33%. This study aimed to predict the poverty rate of Yahukimo district in 2025-2030. This research employed Double and Triple Exponential Smoothing methods. It used secondary data, namely data related to the poverty rate in Yahukimo Regency in percent (%) in 2003-2019. The results showed that the poverty rate data in 2025-2030 were 36.48%, 36.09%, 35.7%, 35.31%, 34.92% and 34.53% respectively. In other words, the poverty rate in Yahukimo Regency had decreased compared to previous years.

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Comparison between Double and Triple Exponential Smoothing Methods for Forecasting Poverty Rate of Yahukimo Regency in 2025-2030

2023

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“…For example, regarding the Poverty Line (GK) in Papua Province. The following data from BPS Papua Province (2020) shows the percentage of GK in Papua Province: (Reba & Sroyer, 2020) The percentage of poor people in Papua for the last six months has increased by 0.09 percentage points, from 26.55 percent in September 2019 to 26.64 percent in March 2020. The percentage of poor people in Papua in urban areas decreased by 0.06 percentage points to 4.47 percent (4.53 percent in September 2019) while rural areas increased by 0.14 percentage points to 35.50 percent (35.36 percent in September 2019).…”

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confidence: 99%

Implementation of Special Autonomy Policy in Papua Province

Sundari

2023

Edunity

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A phenomenon that is made object research is the implementation of the special autonomy policy in increasing the Human Development Index (IPM) in Papua Province. The research objectives are (1) to Analyze the Implementation of special autonomy policy in increasing HDI; (2) to Analyze the constraints of implementing special autonomy policy in increasing HDI; (3) to Develop a strategy for implementing special autonomy policy in increasing HDI. This research uses a qualitative research approach. Research informants as many as 4 people determined by snowball technique. Secondary data collection using literature study; primary data collection using interview and observation techniques. Data analysis used descriptive analysis which was developed by triangulation analysis of observers. The results of the study are as follows: The implementation of the special autonomy policy in increasing the Human Development Index in Papua Province has not been optimal, as theoretically shows limitations of policy implementation in fulfilling the interests of the parties affected; types of benefits received; expected rate of change; decision-making position; program executor; and resource commitment; as well as weakness in anticipation the strength of the actors involved; the interests of the actors involved; the strategy of the actors involved; regime and institutional characteristics; obedience; and responsiveness. Practically, the implementation of the special autonomy policy in increasing the Human Development Index in Papua Province is not optimal, because the data shows that the Human Development Index for Papua is still low. Obstacles to the implementation of the special autonomy policy in increasing HDI include structural constraints, cultural constraints, and conditional constraints. The strategic model that can be developed from discussing the implementation of the special autonomy policy in increasing the HDI in Papua Province is ASOCA Special Autonomy Strategy Model

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Prediksi Angka Partisipasi Kasar (APK) SD/SMP/SMA dan Sederajat Tahun 2022–2030 Menggunakan Moving Average Kabupaten Jayapura Provinsi Papua

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

Comparison between Double and Triple Exponential Smoothing Methods for Forecasting Poverty Rate of Yahukimo Regency in 2025-2030

Comparison between Double and Triple Exponential Smoothing Methods for Forecasting Poverty Rate of Yahukimo Regency in 2025-2030

Implementation of Special Autonomy Policy in Papua Province

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