ObjectiveTo assess the discrimination and calibration of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2
in patients admitted to a pediatric intensive care unit.MethodsThe study was conducted with a contemporary cohort from November 2005 to November
2006. Patients aged 29 days to 18 years were included in the study. Patients who
died within 12 hours of admission and cases of readmission were excluded from the
study. The performance of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 was assessed by means
of the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, the standardized mortality ratio and
the area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with 95% confidence
interval. The significance level was established as 5%.ResultsA total of 276 admissions to the pediatric intensive care unit were included in
the analysis. The mortality rate was 14.13%, and the efficiency of admission
0.88%. The median age of the sample was 42.22 months, and most participants were
male (60.1%). Most admissions were referrals from the emergency department. The
mean duration of stay in pediatric intensive care unit was 6.43±5.23 days.
Approximately 72.46% of admissions were for clinical reasons and exhibited an
association with the outcome death (odds ratio: 2.9; 95%CI:
1.09-7.74; p=0.017). Calibration of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 with the
chi-square statistic was 12.2686 (p=0.1396) in the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit
test, and the standardized mortality ratio was 1.0. The area under the ROC curve
assessing model discrimination was 0.778.ConclusionPediatric Index of Mortality 2 exhibited satisfactory performance.