2020
DOI: 10.1080/10255842.2020.1759560
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Outbreak dynamics of COVID-19 in Europe and the effect of travel restrictions

Abstract: For the first time in history, on March 17, 2020, the European Union closed all its external borders in an attempt to contain the spreading of the coronavirus 2019, COVID-19. Throughout two past months, governments around the world have implemented massive travel restrictions and border control to mitigate the outbreak of this global pandemic. However, the precise effects of travel restrictions on the outbreak dynamics of COVID-19 remain unknown. Here we combine a global network mobility model with a local epi… Show more

Help me understand this report
View preprint versions

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
2
1
1
1

Citation Types

2
139
0
3

Year Published

2020
2020
2021
2021

Publication Types

Select...
5
2
2

Relationship

0
9

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 263 publications
(147 citation statements)
references
References 24 publications
2
139
0
3
Order By: Relevance
“…Using equations (6,3), new functions and may be defined to represent the rate of new infections and the rate of transfer in and out of exposed and infectious compartments. Therefore, the matrices and are defined, as shown in equations (7,8).…”
Section: Basic Reproduction Number ( ) For the Modified Seir Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Using equations (6,3), new functions and may be defined to represent the rate of new infections and the rate of transfer in and out of exposed and infectious compartments. Therefore, the matrices and are defined, as shown in equations (7,8).…”
Section: Basic Reproduction Number ( ) For the Modified Seir Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The base compartment epidemiology model is Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) [5] and the extension of it is Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR). To study the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic, several modified SEIR models have been used to incorporate various measures, especially social distancing, testing, public responses, and mobility restrictions [2,[6][7][8][9]. The modified models have a large number of parameters that increase the complexity.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Zheng et al (2020) indicate that COVID-19 cases imported via transportation are a key factor in the pandemic spread. Linka et al (2020) suggest that an unconstrained mobility would have significantly accelerated the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly in Central Europe, Spain and France. According to Muller et al (2020) and Musselwhite et al (2020) public transport plays a significant role in the spread of infectious diseases, thus attempts to control the spread of infections via public transportation reduces the infection speed.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…11Modelling data which predicted the potential numbers of cases, deaths and impact on health service capacity informed the decisions to implement strong containment strategies and in particular, restrictive border measures, rst with restriction of travel from China and then more broadly when analysis of transmission identi ed travel from other countries and cruise ships as factors introducing the epidemic in Australia. (12)(13)(14) Australian modelling studies had shown that in order to mitigate disease spread in Australia, isolation, quarantine and social distancing were required to ensure that Intensive Care Units (ICU) and the hospital system more broadly were not overwhelmed by a rapid increase in COVID-19 cases. (15)(16)(17).…”
Section: Incidentsmentioning
confidence: 99%