1996
DOI: 10.1007/bf01126111
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Numerical uncertainty management in user and student modeling: An overview of systems and issues

Abstract: Abstract.A rapidly growing number of user and student modeling systems have employed numerical techniques for uncertainty management. The three major paradigms are those of Bayesian networks, the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence, and fuzzy logic. In this overview, each of the first three main sections focuses on one of these paradigms. It first introduces the basic concepts by showing how they can be applied to a relatively simple user modeling problem. It then surveys systems that have applied techniques fr… Show more

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Cited by 151 publications
(73 citation statements)
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“…In an educational system where there is no direct interaction between the tutor and the student the collected data tend to be more haphazard, than those obtained through traditional face-to-face interaction. Furthermore, it is harder for these systems to rely upon background information and relevant experience, as human tutors can (Jameson, 1996). Especially in a web-based learning environment inaccurate measurements caused by technical difficulties, such as network congestion, cannot be ignored.…”
Section: The Problem Of Student Diagnosismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In an educational system where there is no direct interaction between the tutor and the student the collected data tend to be more haphazard, than those obtained through traditional face-to-face interaction. Furthermore, it is harder for these systems to rely upon background information and relevant experience, as human tutors can (Jameson, 1996). Especially in a web-based learning environment inaccurate measurements caused by technical difficulties, such as network congestion, cannot be ignored.…”
Section: The Problem Of Student Diagnosismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…First, the model uses a probabilistic framework to perform three kinds of assessment: (1) plan recognition, inferring the most likely strategy among possible alternatives the student is following, (2) prediction of students' goals and actions, and (3) long-term assessment of the student's domain knowledge. None of the existing systems that perform probabilistic user modeling seem to combine all three of these functions (Jameson, 1996). ANDES' Assessor evolves from POLA VanLehn, 1996a, 1996b), our first attempt at a student model for coached problem solving.…”
Section: The Andes Student Modeling Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Still, there are also a number of systems that use other approaches like Fuzzy Logic [37; 98; 108] and, more recently, neuro-fuzzy approaches [182]. The interested reader can see [90] for an excellent review of former systems and issues in the field of user modeling, and [99] for some discussion about fuzzy user modeling in the context of adaptive web-based applications.…”
Section: Uncertainty-based User Modeling For Adaptive Hypermedia and mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the context of granularity relationships, examples of BNs with links defined in the diagnostic direction (o 4 ) are: [82; 132; 139], while [119; 122; 130; 195; 208] use links defined in the causal direction (o 3 ). The first theoretical comparison between both options can be found in [90], which discusses some implications but does not explicitly recommend any of them. The causal direction (o 3 ) is supported by theoretical studies such us [130], which compare both options in terms of the same criteria described above, and empirical studies such as [39], which evaluate three different course hierarchies in the context of adaptive testing, using quality measures such as test length and test coverage.…”
Section: Example 3 the Use Of The Two Different Options In User Modementioning
confidence: 99%
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