Modeling of the structural shift impact on economic dynamics of Ukraine's development

Ходжаян, Аліна; Ignatyuk, Anzhela; Korneev, Volodymyr; Khodzhaian, A. R.

doi:10.33271/nvngu/2021-2/170

Nauk. visn. nat. hirn. univ.

2021

DOI: 10.33271/nvngu/2021-2/170

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Modeling of the structural shift impact on economic dynamics of Ukraine's development

Аліна Ходжаян¹,

Anzhela Ignatyuk²,

Volodymyr Korneev³

et al.

Abstract: Purpose. To provide quantification of industry-specific structural shifts in the economy of Ukraine in the medium term perspective as a result of the structural policies application. Methodology. The methodological basis of the study is economic and mathematical modelling using the computable general equilibrium model GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project). Methods of analysis and synthesis were used in systematization and generalization of modelling results. The study on the theoretical basis of the GTAP mode… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications

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Comparative Analysis of the Reindustrialization of National Economiesin the Context of the Restoration and Development of Their Industrial Potential

Grazhevska,

Osetskyi,

Khodzhaian

et al. 2023

BulEcon

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The article, the purpose of which is a comparative analysis of the reindustrialization of national economies, analyzes the main approaches to understanding the concept of "reindustrialization", identifies the main features of the economic policy of reindustrialization in the context of the restoration and development of the industrial potential of the countries of the world. The main characteristics of reindustrialization are the restoration of production capacities, orientation towards high-tech production, innovative and technological modernization of production, and the development of collaboration between science and production. Based on the results of a hierarchical cluster analysis of the distribution of countries of the world according to the level of reindustrialization of national economies, five main groups of countries have been formed. The group of leading countries focusing on high-tech industries includes China, Germany, Great Britain, the United States, France, Switzerland, Japan, and others. Ukraine, according to the results of cluster analysis, is included in the block of countries with a low level of reindustrialization of the economy. The share of medium- and high-tech production for this group is almost two times less than that of highly reindustrialized ones. Based on the results of the study, the necessity is substantiated and the main mechanisms for enhancing the reindustrial renewal of the domestic economy are determined. A comparison of the results of economic development in the orientation to the agricultural sector and the application of the reindustrial concept of socio-economic development is carried out. It is shown that with the implementation of the economic policy of reindustrialization, orientation to the high-tech sector, digitalization, and digitalization, Ukraine can achieve economic growth by 5 times by 2045.

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Comparative Analysis of the Reindustrialization of National Economiesin the Context of the Restoration and Development of Their Industrial Potential

Grazhevska,

Osetskyi,

Khodzhaian

et al. 2023

BulEcon

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show abstract

Development Management of Agricultural Enterprises

et al. 2021

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Abstract. Today there is an intensification of activities and the associated increase in the dynamics of change in all sectors of the economy, including the agrarian sector, in Ukraine and throughout the world. This makes it urgently necessary for agricultural enterprises to adapt to such conditions in order to ensure the efficiency of their activities and long-term competitiveness. The most effective way to address this issue is to introduce development management of agricultural enterprises. The article considers the concept of «development» and «enterprise development», clarifies the meaning of the concept of «enterprise development management», and defines the purpose of such management. In accordance with the content and the proposed definition of the concept of «enterprise development management», the study highlights its characteristic features. It analyzes the main indicators of development of the agricultural enterprises in Ukraine, which demonstrated deterioration in the dynamics of their performance. The findings show the importance of development management of agricultural enterprises. To find a solution, the article suggests an algorithm for development management of agricultural enterprises that is developed, substantiated and based on the tools of strategic management. Adherence to such an algorithm will contribute to the effective realization of the potential of enterprises, rapid adaptation to changes in the external environment, the formation and implementation of effective development strategies, which will ultimately ensure economic, social and environmental efficiency and long-term competitiveness. The proposed algorithm is typical for agricultural enterprises of different organizational and legal forms of management, size, specialization, etc. and at the same time flexible to take into account the peculiarities of certain types of enterprises, which enables to achieve maximum efficiency of enterprise development on the basis of specification of its certain stages. Keywords: development, enterprise development, enterprise development management, competitiveness, agricultural enterprise. JEL Classification Q12 Formulas: 0; fig.: 3; tabl.: 2; bibl.: 22.

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Management of the Development of the Tourist Industry in the Condition of a Pandemic

Fatkhutdinova

Bazhanova²,

Tyshchenko³

et al. 2021

ФКДПТП

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Abstract. The tourism industry occupies an important place in the development of many countries around the world. Revenues from the provision of tourist services support about 50 related economic activities, which employ about 5% of the working population. Despite the gradual recovery of the economy caused by hostilities in eastern Ukraine during 2015—2020, its sharp decline in 2020, following the declaration of a global pandemic, was perhaps the largest in the last 20 years. The tourism industry has undergone significant transformations. If in 2019 the export of tourism amounted to 29.3 million people, a year later it was 2.5 times less. A similar deterioration is observed in tourism imports, where the decline in 2019/2020 ranged from 13.7 million to 3.4 million, respectively. The decline in tourist flows to Ukraine and abroad has caused negative chain changes in the functioning of Ukraine’s largest transport carriers. Thus, the fall in passenger air traffic in 2020 by 64.2% led to an increase in losses by UAH 0.4 billion in the national airline Ukraerorukh, the fall in passenger traffic by rail by 64.2% increased the loss by UAH 14.9 billion in PJSC Ukrzaliznytsia. And if air travel is more focused on the export of tourist flow, then rail transport is focused on the domestic market. Thus, the program of development of air communication within national borders needs detailed revision. At the same time, the closure of the Ukrainian border and the limited ability to travel have attracted the Ukrainian tourism market. During 2020, there was an increase in the cost of leisure services by an average of 25—30%, with the same quality of services provided. Due to the underdevelopment of premium-class recreation, approaches to investing in the expansion of this segment need to be reconsidered. The lack of sufficient investments of the state and business in the development of roads, reduces access to many quality places of nature, architectural monuments and so on. Thus, making appropriate adjustments to the development programs of the tourism industry at the national, regional and local levels becomes a priority in bringing the quality of tourism services to a new level and will provide an opportunity to increase revenues from the provision of tourism services. Keywords: tourism industry, tourism export, tourism import, tourist services, pandemic, quarantine measures. JEL Classification Z32 Formulas: 0; fig.: 3; tabl.: 1; bibl.: 22.

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Modeling of the structural shift impact on economic dynamics of Ukraine's development

Cited by 5 publications

References 6 publications

Comparative Analysis of the Reindustrialization of National Economiesin the Context of the Restoration and Development of Their Industrial Potential

Comparative Analysis of the Reindustrialization of National Economiesin the Context of the Restoration and Development of Their Industrial Potential

Development Management of Agricultural Enterprises

Management of the Development of the Tourist Industry in the Condition of a Pandemic

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