Mexican Elections, 1910–1994: Voters, Violence, and Veto Power

Gillingham, Paul

doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780195377385.013.0003

Cited by 5 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…During most of the twentieth century, elections in Mexico failed to function as a legitimate process for selecting public officials. Electoral manipulation included the modification of final vote counts (Castañeda , 231–39; de la Madrid , 814–24), the alteration of ballot boxes (Langston , 19–22), the certification of the results by a biased legislature (Lehoucq ), the inflation of voter registration lists (Gillingham ; Molinar ; Preston and Dillon ; Simpser ), and the intimidation of opposition supporters (Craig and Cornelius ). Despite instances of centrally planned electoral manipulation (Carbonell , 83–6; Simpser , 113), many of these practices took place in a decentralized manner: local brokers manipulated the ballot boxes in their own regions in exchange for political favors from winning candidates (Langston )…”

Section: Local Elections In Mexicomentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying Irregularities in Mexican Local Elections

Cantú

2014

American J Political Sci

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A generalized distrust in Mexican local elections raises the question of whether electoral corruption has vanished or remains a prevalent practice in the country. To answer this question, I analyze the 2010 gubernatorial elections, exploiting a feature of the country's electoral system: within each electoral precinct, voters are assigned to polling stations according to their childhood surname. Consequently, the only difference between voters in contiguous polling stations should be their last names. Given that political preferences are seldom correlated with voters' names, I use suspicious differences in turnout levels across contiguous polling stations to identify fraudulent practices. The findings of this article indicate that nondemocratic enclaves that actively obstruct the completion of Mexico's democratic transition still remain today.

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Section: Local Elections In Mexicomentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying Irregularities in Mexican Local Elections

Cantú

2014

American J Political Sci

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“…Electoral chicanery was far from uncommon in Mexico before 1988 (Gillingham 2012;Simpser and Hernández Company 2014). These irregularities, however, seldom determined the electoral outcome.…”

Section: The Production Of Altered Talliesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Fingerprints of Fraud: Evidence from Mexico’s 1988 Presidential Election

Cantú

2019

Am Polit Sci Rev

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This paper investigates the opportunities for non-democratic regimes to rely on fraud by documenting the alteration of vote tallies during the 1988 presidential election in Mexico. In particular, I study how the alteration of vote returns came after an electoral reform that centralized the vote-counting process. Using an original image database of the vote-tally sheets for that election and applying Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to analyze the sheets, I find evidence of blatant alterations in about a third of the tallies in the country. This empirical analysis shows that altered tallies were more prevalent in polling stations where the opposition was not present and in states controlled by governors with grassroots experience of managing the electoral operation. This research has implications for understanding the ways in which autocrats control elections as well as for introducing a new methodology to audit the integrity of vote tallies.

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Effects of long-term development and schooling expansion on the decline in homicide rates: Mexico from 1950 to 2005

Gil

Ricart

2022

Journal of Crime and Justice

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Mexican Elections, 1910–1994: Voters, Violence, and Veto Power

Cited by 5 publications

References 0 publications

Identifying Irregularities in Mexican Local Elections

Identifying Irregularities in Mexican Local Elections

The Fingerprints of Fraud: Evidence from Mexico’s 1988 Presidential Election

Effects of long-term development and schooling expansion on the decline in homicide rates: Mexico from 1950 to 2005

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