Abstract:The increasing size of wind turbines, with rotors already spanning more than 150 m diameter and hub heights above 100 m, requires proper modeling of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) from the surface to the free atmosphere. Furthermore, large wind farm arrays create their own boundary layer structure with unique physics. This poses significant challenges to traditional wind engineering models that rely on surface-layer theories and engineering wind farm models to simulate the flow in and around wind farms. … Show more
“…Mesoscale forcing is derived from simulations with the Advanced Research Weather Forecasting model (WRF), version 3.8 (Skamarock et al, 2008). Kleczek et al (2014) made a sensitivity study of WRF for different grid setups, boundary layer schemes, boundary conditions and spin-up time.…”
Section: Mesoscale Forcing From Wrfmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The dynamics of these forcings determine the interplay between the wind climatology, relevant for the assessment of the wind resource, and the wind conditions relevant for wind turbine siting. Sanz Rodrigo et al (2016) reviews the state-of-the-art wind farm flow modeling, methodologies and challenges for mesoscale-microscale coupling.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The design of ABL models for wind energy requires a systematic approach to verification and validation in order to demonstrate consistency of the computational code with the conceptual physical model and to quantifying deviations with respect to the real world (Sanz Rodrigo et al, 2016). The verification process is carried out using idealized test cases where the solution is known from theory or from a higherfidelity model (code-to-code comparison).…”
Abstract. The GEWEX Atmospheric Boundary Layer Studies (GABLS) 1, 2 and 3 are used to develop a methodology for the design and testing of Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) models for wind energy applications. The first two GABLS cases are based on idealized boundary conditions and are suitable for verification purposes by comparing with results from higher-fidelity models based on large-eddy simulation. Results from three single-column RANS models, of 1st, 1.5th and 2nd turbulence closure order, show high consistency in predicting the mean flow. The third GABLS case is suitable for the study of these ABL models under realistic forcing such that validation versus observations from the Cabauw meteorological tower are possible. The case consists on a diurnal cycle that leads to a nocturnal low-level jet and addresses fundamental questions related to the definition of the large-scale forcing, the interaction of the ABL with the surface and the evaluation of model results with observations. The simulations are evaluated in terms of surface-layer fluxes and wind energy quantities of interest: rotor equivalent wind speed, hub-height wind direction, wind speed shear and wind direction veer. The characterization of mesoscale forcing is based on spatially and temporally averaged momentum budget terms from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulations. These mesoscale tendencies are used to drive single-column models, which were verified previously in the first two GABLS cases, to first demonstrate that they can produce similar wind profile characteristics to the WRF simulations even though the physics are more simplified. The added value of incorporating different forcing mechanisms into microscale models is quantified by systematically removing forcing terms in the momentum and heat equations. This mesoscale-to-microscale modeling approach is affected, to a large extent, by the input uncertainties of the mesoscale tendencies. Deviations from the profile observations are reduced by introducing observational nudging based on measurements that are typically available from wind energy campaigns. This allows the discussion of the added value of using remote sensing instruments versus tower measurements in the assessment of wind profiles for tall wind turbines reaching heights of 200 m.Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Academy of Wind Energy e.V. 36 J. Sanz Rodrigo et al.: A methodology for the design and testing of atmospheric boundary layer models
“…Mesoscale forcing is derived from simulations with the Advanced Research Weather Forecasting model (WRF), version 3.8 (Skamarock et al, 2008). Kleczek et al (2014) made a sensitivity study of WRF for different grid setups, boundary layer schemes, boundary conditions and spin-up time.…”
Section: Mesoscale Forcing From Wrfmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The dynamics of these forcings determine the interplay between the wind climatology, relevant for the assessment of the wind resource, and the wind conditions relevant for wind turbine siting. Sanz Rodrigo et al (2016) reviews the state-of-the-art wind farm flow modeling, methodologies and challenges for mesoscale-microscale coupling.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The design of ABL models for wind energy requires a systematic approach to verification and validation in order to demonstrate consistency of the computational code with the conceptual physical model and to quantifying deviations with respect to the real world (Sanz Rodrigo et al, 2016). The verification process is carried out using idealized test cases where the solution is known from theory or from a higherfidelity model (code-to-code comparison).…”
Abstract. The GEWEX Atmospheric Boundary Layer Studies (GABLS) 1, 2 and 3 are used to develop a methodology for the design and testing of Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) models for wind energy applications. The first two GABLS cases are based on idealized boundary conditions and are suitable for verification purposes by comparing with results from higher-fidelity models based on large-eddy simulation. Results from three single-column RANS models, of 1st, 1.5th and 2nd turbulence closure order, show high consistency in predicting the mean flow. The third GABLS case is suitable for the study of these ABL models under realistic forcing such that validation versus observations from the Cabauw meteorological tower are possible. The case consists on a diurnal cycle that leads to a nocturnal low-level jet and addresses fundamental questions related to the definition of the large-scale forcing, the interaction of the ABL with the surface and the evaluation of model results with observations. The simulations are evaluated in terms of surface-layer fluxes and wind energy quantities of interest: rotor equivalent wind speed, hub-height wind direction, wind speed shear and wind direction veer. The characterization of mesoscale forcing is based on spatially and temporally averaged momentum budget terms from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulations. These mesoscale tendencies are used to drive single-column models, which were verified previously in the first two GABLS cases, to first demonstrate that they can produce similar wind profile characteristics to the WRF simulations even though the physics are more simplified. The added value of incorporating different forcing mechanisms into microscale models is quantified by systematically removing forcing terms in the momentum and heat equations. This mesoscale-to-microscale modeling approach is affected, to a large extent, by the input uncertainties of the mesoscale tendencies. Deviations from the profile observations are reduced by introducing observational nudging based on measurements that are typically available from wind energy campaigns. This allows the discussion of the added value of using remote sensing instruments versus tower measurements in the assessment of wind profiles for tall wind turbines reaching heights of 200 m.Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Academy of Wind Energy e.V. 36 J. Sanz Rodrigo et al.: A methodology for the design and testing of atmospheric boundary layer models
“…Applications range from resource assessment to load calculations and from wake simulations to power forecasting . A comprehensive review of flow modeling in the wind energy sector was recently published by Sanz Rogdrigo et al In that study, the authors distinguish between mesoscale and microscale models.…”
Numerical weather prediction models play an important role in the field of wind energy, for example, in power forecasting, resource assessment, wind farm (wake) simulations, and load assessment. Continuous evaluation of their performance is crucial for successful operations and further understanding of meteorology for wind energy purposes. However, extensive offshore observations are rarely available. In this paper, we use unique met mast and Lidar observations up to 315 m from met mast “IJmuiden,” located in the North Sea 85 km off the Dutch coast, to evaluate the representation of wind and other relevant variables in three mainstream meteorological models: ECMWF‐IFS, HARMONIE‐AROME, and WRF‐ARW, for a wide range of weather conditions. Overall performance for hub‐height wind speed is found to be comparable between the models, with a systematic wind speed bias <0.5 m/s and random wind speed errors (centered RMSE) <2 m/s. However, the model performance differs considerably between cases, with better performance for strong wind regimes and well‐mixed wind and potential temperature profiles. Conditions characterized by moderate wind speeds combined with stable stratification, which typically produce substantial wind shear and power fluctuations, lead to the largest misrepresentations in all models.
“…Moving from the standard ECMWF forecast to the ultrahigh‐resolution turbulence‐resolving model represents a significant jump in resolution. For future work looking to benchmark against all possible methods, it would be prudent to include a comparison of a middle‐ground between the two and evaluate performance against a mesoscale model, typically used in commercial power forecasting systems. Additional benchmark comparisons should certainly include direct comparisons with ensemble members or an ensemble of weather prediction sources; however, it should be noted that a robust numerical comparison in this context would necessarily require inclusion of ultrahigh‐resolution ensembles generated by the LES simulation.…”
Accurate short‐term power forecasts are crucial for the reliable and efficient integration of wind energy in power systems and electricity markets. Typically, forecasts for hours to days ahead are based on the output of numerical weather prediction models, and with the advance of computing power, the spatial and temporal resolutions of these models have increased substantially. However, high‐resolution forecasts often exhibit spatial and/or temporal displacement errors, and when regarding typical average performance metrics, they often perform worse than smoother forecasts from lower‐resolution models. Recent computational advances have enabled the use of large‐eddy simulations (LESs) in the context of operational weather forecasting, yielding turbulence‐resolving weather forecasts with a spatial resolution of 100 m or finer and a temporal resolution of 30 seconds or less. This paper is a proof‐of‐concept study on the prospect of leveraging these ultra high‐resolution weather models for operational forecasting at Horns Rev I in Denmark. It is shown that temporal smoothing of the forecasts clearly improves their skill, even for the benchmark resolution forecast, although potentially valuable high‐frequency information is lost. Therefore, a statistical post‐processing approach is explored on the basis of smoothing and feature engineering from the high‐frequency signal. The results indicate that for wind farm forecasting, using information content from both the standard and LES resolution models improves the forecast accuracy, especially with a feature selection stage, compared with using the information content solely from either source.
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