Measuring Systemic Polarity

Mesquita, Bruce Bueno de

doi:10.1177/002200277501900201

Cited by 155 publications

(66 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Self-dyads of the type i − i are commonly assigned the value of 3 (Sweeney and Keshk 2005), following the logic that a state will defend itself if attacked (Bueno de Mesquita 1975).…”

Section: Alliance Instrumentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Addressing Endogeneity in Actor-Specific Network Measures

Boehmke

Chyzh

Thies³

2015

PSRM

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The study of international relations (IR), and political science more broadly, has derived great benefits from the recent growth of conceptualizing and modeling political phenomena within their broader network contexts. More than just a novel approach to evaluating the old puzzles, network analysis provides a whole new way of theoretical thinking. Challenging the traditional dyad-driven approach to the study of IR, networks highlight actor interdependence that goes beyond dyads and emphasizes that many traditional IR variables, such as conflict, trade, alliances, or international organization memberships must be treated and studied as networks. Properties of these networks (e.g., polarization, density), and of actor positions within them (e.g., similarity, centrality), will then reveal important insights about international events. Network analysis, however, is not yet fully adapted to account for important methodological issues common to IR research, specifically the issue of endogeneity or possible nonindependence between actors' position within international networks and the outcomes of interest: e.g. alliance network may be nonindependent from the conflict or trade network. We adopt an instrumental variables approach to explore and address the issue of endogeneity in network context. We illustrate the issue and the advantages of our approach with Monte Carlo analysis, as well as with several empirical examples from IR literature. AbstractThe study of international relations (IR), and political science more broadly, has derived great benefits from the recent growth of conceptualizing and modeling political phenomena within their broader network contexts. More than just a novel approach to evaluating the old puzzles, network analysis provides a whole new way of theoretical thinking. Challenging the traditional dyad-driven approach to the study of IR, networks highlight actor interdependence that goes beyond dyads and emphasizes that many traditional IR variables, such as conflict, trade, alliances, or international organization memberships must be treated and studied as networks. Properties of these networks (e.g., polarization, density), and of actor positions within them (e.g., similarity, centrality), will then reveal important insights about international events. Network analysis, however, is not yet fully adapted to account for important methodological issues common to IR research, specifically the issue of endogeneity or possible nonindependence between actors' position within international networks and the outcomes of interest: e.g. alliance network may be nonindependent from the conflict or trade network. We adopt an instrumental variables approach to explore and address the issue of endogeneity in network context. We illustrate the issue and the advantages of our approach with Monte Carlo analysis, as well as with several empirical examples from IR literature.

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“…Self-dyads of the type i − i are commonly assigned the value of 3 (Sweeney and Keshk 2005), following the logic that a state will defend itself if attacked (Bueno de Mesquita 1975).…”

Section: Alliance Instrumentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Addressing Endogeneity in Actor-Specific Network Measures

Boehmke

Chyzh

Thies³

2015

PSRM

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“…Bueno de Mesquita (1975) originally proposed Kendall's (1938) rank-order correlation coefficient τ b as a measure of similarity. According to this measure, the foreign policy ties of two states are maximally similar if their rankings exhibit perfect covariation.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Choice or Circumstance? Adjusting Measures of Foreign Policy Similarity for Chance Agreement

Häge¹

2011

Polit. anal.

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“…8 See also the pioneering work of Bueno de Mesquita (1975, 1981 on systematic polarity. 9 It is interesting to point out that AB found two stable configurations in Europe, one is the exact partition into the Axis and Allies of World War II, and another that separates the USSR, Yugoslavia and Greece from the rest of Europe.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%