Marriage Squeeze, Never-Married Proportion, and Mean Age at First Marriage in China

Jiang, Quanbao; Feldman, Marcus W.; Li, Shuzhuo

doi:10.1007/s11113-013-9283-8

Cited by 72 publications

(44 citation statements)

References 39 publications

(54 reference statements)

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“…Cai (2013) indicated that China's TFR had been approximately 1.5 or even lower. Jiang, Feldman, and Li (2014a) adopted a TFR of 1.4, and Zhao and Chen (2011) adopted a TFR of 1.45 for the census year 2010. (1985,1993,2002,2012), Zhou (2015).…”

Section: Fertility Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Low fertility and concurrent birth control policy in China

Jiang

Liu

2016

The History of the Family

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China's one-child policy, introduced in the late 1970s, has been in effect for over three decades. This article reviews China's low fertility rate and the implementation of this stringent birth control policy in the context of low fertility. First, China's fertility intention, behavior, and low fertility level trend are presented. Then, the official response to the low fertility level and the consequent misguided policy-making are investigated. Next, various obstacles to the abolishment of the strict birth control policy are discussed, including national leaders' authority, related family planning regulations and laws, the inertia of this basic state policy under the auspices of the common good, the displacement of the family planning systems, and the necessity for social maintenance fees to keep grassroots governments in operation. After discussing the recent reform of this birth control policy in 2013 and the subsequent results, the incentives for a universal two-child policy are elucidated. These include the official acknowledgment of low fertility, the effect of birth control policy on fertility decline, the reactions of the general public, the attitudes of grassroots family planning cadres, the appeal from scholars, international experiences, the merging of population and family planning commissions, and national leaders' attitudes. The paper concludes with an analysis of the cost of this birth control policy over the past decades.

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Section: Fertility Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Low fertility and concurrent birth control policy in China

Jiang

Liu

2016

The History of the Family

Self Cite

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“…High population growth rates and declines in child and infant mortality levels together with the fact that women marry at younger ages than men possibly led to an excess supply of women since matches would have to be drawn from older men in smaller birth cohorts (Caldwell et al, 1983;Bhat and Halli, 1999). In the case of China, Jiang et al (2014) project population data to show that the highly masculine sex ratio and the ensuing surplus of males will result in an increase in the proportion of never-married males and the mean age at marriage for males will first rise and then decrease.…”

Section: What Factors Determine the Age At Marriage? And What Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Marriage Markets in Developing Countries

Anukriti

Dasgupta

2017

The Oxford Handbook of Women and the Economy

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in Marriage Markets in Developing Countries FebruAry 2017Any opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but IZA takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity. The IZA Institute of Labor Economics is an independent economic research institute that conducts research in labor economics and offers evidence-based policy advice on labor market issues. Supported by the Deutsche Post Foundation, IZA runs the world's largest network of economists, whose research aims to provide answers to the global labor market challenges of our time. Our key objective is to build bridges between academic research, policymakers and society. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author.Schaumburg-Lippe-Straße 5-9 53113 Bonn, GermanyPhone: +49-228-3894-0 Email: publications@iza.org www.iza.org IZA -Institute of Labor EconomicsDiscussion PaPer series IZA DP No. 10556 Marriage Markets in Developing CountriesFebruAry 2017 S AnukritiBoston College and IZA Shatanjaya DasguptaBeloit College Marriage Markets in Developing Countries 1This chapter reviews the literature on marriage in developing countries. We describe how marital matching occurs; the trends in age at marriage; assortative mating patterns; marriage payments; and spousal decision-making after a marriage has occurred. Lastly, we discuss trends and rationales for consanguineous and polygamous marriages -practices that are largely unique to the developing world. JEL Classification:J1, J12

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“…Although underreporting may affect the census data, especially for female infants, it is difficult to adjust these data in the absence of more reliable data to obtain an acceptably accurate fertility rate. Based on the 2010 census population data for the younger segments, Jiang et al (2013) found that a fertility rate of 1.5 eliminates the discrepancy between the predicted births cohort and the previous birth cohort that occurs in various accounts of Chinese TFR. A TFR of 1.5 approaches the post-2010 TFR of 1.45 used in a simulation by Zhao and Chen (2011).…”

Section: Fertility Ratementioning

confidence: 99%