2005
DOI: 10.5034/inquiryjrnl_42.4.335
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Long-Term Care over an Uncertain Future: What Can Current Retirees Expect?

Abstract: The leading edge of the baby boom generation is nearing retirement and facing uncertainty about its need for long-term care (LTC). Using a microsimulation model, this analysis projected that people currently turning age 65 will need LTC for three years on average. An important share of needed care will be covered by public programs and some private insurance, but much of the care will be an uninsured private responsibility of individuals and their families-a responsibility that will be distributed unequally. W… Show more

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Cited by 126 publications
(81 citation statements)
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References 37 publications
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“…These moves also run counter to the growing recognition that everyone faces the risk of financially catastrophic LTC expenses (8,11,34). A growing number of citizens have seen firsthand the high costs of caring for elderly people who have seriously debilitating conditions, so there is strong support to maintain social insurance for LTC expenses.…”
Section: Lessons and Policy Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 84%
See 2 more Smart Citations
“…These moves also run counter to the growing recognition that everyone faces the risk of financially catastrophic LTC expenses (8,11,34). A growing number of citizens have seen firsthand the high costs of caring for elderly people who have seriously debilitating conditions, so there is strong support to maintain social insurance for LTC expenses.…”
Section: Lessons and Policy Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 84%
“…Local control of community services contributes to LTC differences within and across countries; it has enabled regions to reduce services provided or focus services only on the elderly with the greatest needs when an economic downturn occurs (2,45). Despite formal LTC programs existing in many OECD countries, a substantial majority (60-70%) of people who need LTC receive it informally from relatives or friends in all the countries (18,33,34,59).…”
Section: Types Of Services Provided To the Elderly Who Need Assistancementioning
confidence: 99%
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“…A sizable minority will face substantial financial liabilities or will place large burdens on their families for informal care. 1 Yet only slightly more than half of nonbuyers consider themselves to be at risk for needing significant long-term care services, and most believe that they will not be liable for the costs of care (that is, the government or other health insurance would pay). 4 At the same time, nonbuyers generally overestimate premium costs and underestimate longterm care costs, reinforcing barriers to purchase.…”
Section: Why Don't More Middle-class Americans Pur-chase Long-term Camentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In most countries, a major share of such care is provided informally, meaning that it is not reflected in social statistics (Bettio & Verashchagina 2010, Kemper et al 2005). Yet even though informal caregivers work mostly without payment, care provision can still come at a certain cost: in particular, it is timeconsuming, mentally stressful, and physically exhausting, which can negatively affect the caregiver's career and health.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%