Is NAFTA really advantageous for Mexico?

Sánchez, José Carlos Ramírez; Calderón, Cuauhtémoc; León, Sarahí Sánchez

doi:10.1080/08853908.2017.1387623

Cited by 12 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…En esos complejos, las redes de ensamble y proveeduría abarcan diferentes centros de consolidación o aprovisionamiento alrededor del mundo que propician que los países huéspedes se conviertan, paradójicamente, en deficitarios y superavitarios por partes iguales. Al exportar los productos ensamblados, los países receptores de filiales, como México, se convierten en superavitarios por el monto equivalente al valor agregado en el procesamiento, pero también en deficitarios por la compra de partes y componentes a los centros de consolidación en Brasil o Japón, por ejemplo (Ramírez, Calderón y Sánchez, 2018).…”

Section: El Significado Del Déficit Comercial De Eua Con Méxicounclassified

“…Cuando se hace abstracción de estas triangulaciones es que surge la idea falaz de que el déficit comercial es un asunto ventajoso sólo para un país y no la forma exitosa con que operan los complejos automotrices en el mundo. Por esa razón, los argumentos de Trump son parcialmente ciertos, pues el déficit es, más bien, un asunto contable que disfraza el buen funcionamiento del comercio intrafirma (Ramírez, Calderón y Sánchez, 2018).…”

Section: El Significado Del Déficit Comercial De Eua Con Méxicounclassified

See 1 more Smart Citation

Los Sectores Automotriz Y Energético De México en Los Laberintos Del T-Mec

Ramírez

Ramírez²,

Mata

2023

Investigación Económica

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El objetivo de este documento es analizar las principales consecuencias de las disposiciones del T-MEC sobre el desempeño de los sectores automotriz y energético de México. La exposición incluye la simulación de tres escenarios, construidos mediante un modelo de vectores autorregresivos, en los que se evalúan los posibles impactos del incremento de costos derivados de las nuevas reglas de origen sobre las variables claves de la industria automotriz (empleo, producción, inversión y divisas). La simulación se complementa con un estudio de la influencia del tratado en los recientes movimientos laborales de la industria. Finalmente, se valoran los potenciales conflictos entre EUA y México resultantes de los cambios experimentados por el sector energético mexicano. La conclusión principal es que el T-MEC puede beneficiar o perjudicar a ambos sectores dependiendo de los escenarios presentados y de la observancia de ciertos capítulos del tratado.THE AUTOMOTIVE AND ENERGY SECTORS OF MEXICO IN USMCA’ S LABYRINTHSABSTRACTThis paper aims to assess the main consequences of the USMCA provisions on Mexico’s automotive and energy sectors’ performance. By running an autoregressive vector model, we set three scenarios to measure the potential impacts of higher production costs resulting from the rules of origin on the automotive plants’ critical variables (employment, production, investment, and foreign exchange). The paper also analyzes USMCA’s influence on labor changes in the Mexican automotive industry to highlight the social content of the rules of origin. Finally, we provide a qualitative study on contentious issues between the U.S. and Mexico stemming from recent changes in the Mexican energy sector. The main conclusion is that USMCA’s impact on the performance of both sectors depends on the scenarios presented and the degree of compliance with certain treaty chapters.

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Section: El Significado Del Déficit Comercial De Eua Con Méxicounclassified

Los Sectores Automotriz Y Energético De México en Los Laberintos Del T-Mec

Ramírez

Ramírez²,

Mata

2023

Investigación Económica

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“…Queretaro is one of the main poles in the industry. In this sense, Ramirez, Calderon, and Sanchez (2018) define Queretaro as a "North American Free Trade Agreement city" (or "NAFTA city"), acknowledging the arrival and expansion of the American automotive industry supply chain in the state. The largest factories of the auto industry in Queretaro are located in the QCMA municipalities and annually contribute approximately 15% of the national production of auto parts (Salinas, Godinez, and Ortega 2017, 44).…”

Section: Economic Change: Fluctuations and Investmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

New Global Cities in Latin America and Asia

Baisotti¹

2022

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“…However, the full impact of NAFTA outcomes is mixed. Studies such as Sánchez (2018) and Mold and Rozo (2006) suggested that such a diversion of imports under NAFTA undermined the competitiveness of some North American industries, and led subsequently to poor welfare results, particularly for Mexico. Other authors (Hernandez-Trillo, 2018;Wisner and Epstein, 2005) found that Mexico gained from NAFTA in terms of intra-bloc trade, welfare, and real wages.…”

Section: Reaping Afcfta Benefits Through Cost-effective and Well-functioning Rules Of Originmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reaping the AfCFTA Potential Through Well-Functioning Rules of Origin

Tsowou¹,

Davis²

2021

JAT

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The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Rules of Origin (RoOs) determine the conditions for the application of the Agreement's tariff preferences. The effectiveness of existing preferential trade agreements within the continent is undermined by heterogeneous RoO regimes and costly trade facilitation procedures. If these issues continue unchecked, they could harm the realization of AfCFTA ambitions. Here, we first discuss the economics of preferential RoOs, highlighting their associated benefits and costs within and beyond the African context. Second, we focus on the implementation of RoOs under the AfCFTA. We contend that cost-effective implementation is crucial to the AfCFTA RoO regime for production hubs to benefit from integrated African markets. Capacity building, the adoption of new technologies, and the establishment of effective institutional mechanisms will be important to track progress on RoO implementation and ensure high preference-utilization rates under the AfCFTA. These efforts shall be complemented by targeted support to the least developed countries and to small and medium enterprises. Finally, we recommend a set of actions to ensure the impartial, transparent, predictable, consistent, and cost-effective implementation of the AfCFTA RoOs.

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Is NAFTA really advantageous for Mexico?

Cited by 12 publications

References 14 publications

Los Sectores Automotriz Y Energético De México en Los Laberintos Del T-Mec

Los Sectores Automotriz Y Energético De México en Los Laberintos Del T-Mec

New Global Cities in Latin America and Asia

Reaping the AfCFTA Potential Through Well-Functioning Rules of Origin

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