Abstract:Abstract. From the colonial era up to the present, mega-irrigation projects for agriculture have played a key role in the production of state space in Sahelian Africa. Transferring a concept proposed by Agnew (1994) onto a different scale, it is possible to interpret these mega-projects as "territorial traps". In fact, they set up boundaries (physical, relational, cognitive and operative) that force evolutive trajectories of the areas involved along rigid pathways. In the aftermath of the systematic failure of… Show more
“…We attribute the lack of clear evidence for a 'hidden hand' phenomena in our sample to two factors. First, irrigation schemes reduce agricultural adaptability by appropriating water and land, and by regulating the sale or renting of plots [14,15]. Secondly, social aspects of development are often the most intractable, with technically minded planners less focussed on issues such as gender dynamics or resettlement programs associated with projects [20,37].…”
Section: Full Attainment Of Proposals Was Unlikely For Many Schemesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, the Nigerian South Chad Irrigation Project achieved 3% of the planned area, before failing completely as water availability declined. Drought undeniably foreclosed the possibility of irrigation, but the scheme had experienced continual management and maintenance problems since it's delayed opening, partly due to lower oil prices reducing Nigeria's income [4,15]. Furthermore, the decline in water availability should not have surprised planners, colonial authorities had documented both multi-year droughts in the early 20 th century and variations in the area of Lake Chad by up-to 50% [34].…”
Section: No Clear Regional-scale Drivers Of Scheme Performancementioning
After a thirty-year hiatus, large-scale irrigation projects have returned to the development agenda in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Yet, the magnitude and drivers of past schemes performance remains poorly understood. We quantify the performance of 79 irrigation schemes from across SSA, measured as the proportion of proposed irrigated area delivered, by comparing planning documents with estimates of current scheme size from satellite-derived land cover maps. We find overwhelming evidence that investments have failed to deliver promised benefits; with schemes supporting a median 16% of proposed area, only 20 (25%) delivering >80%, and 16 (20%) completely inactive. Performance has not improved over six decades, and we find limited relationships with commonly stated causes of failure such as scheme size and climate.
“…We attribute the lack of clear evidence for a 'hidden hand' phenomena in our sample to two factors. First, irrigation schemes reduce agricultural adaptability by appropriating water and land, and by regulating the sale or renting of plots [14,15]. Secondly, social aspects of development are often the most intractable, with technically minded planners less focussed on issues such as gender dynamics or resettlement programs associated with projects [20,37].…”
Section: Full Attainment Of Proposals Was Unlikely For Many Schemesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, the Nigerian South Chad Irrigation Project achieved 3% of the planned area, before failing completely as water availability declined. Drought undeniably foreclosed the possibility of irrigation, but the scheme had experienced continual management and maintenance problems since it's delayed opening, partly due to lower oil prices reducing Nigeria's income [4,15]. Furthermore, the decline in water availability should not have surprised planners, colonial authorities had documented both multi-year droughts in the early 20 th century and variations in the area of Lake Chad by up-to 50% [34].…”
Section: No Clear Regional-scale Drivers Of Scheme Performancementioning
After a thirty-year hiatus, large-scale irrigation projects have returned to the development agenda in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Yet, the magnitude and drivers of past schemes performance remains poorly understood. We quantify the performance of 79 irrigation schemes from across SSA, measured as the proportion of proposed irrigated area delivered, by comparing planning documents with estimates of current scheme size from satellite-derived land cover maps. We find overwhelming evidence that investments have failed to deliver promised benefits; with schemes supporting a median 16% of proposed area, only 20 (25%) delivering >80%, and 16 (20%) completely inactive. Performance has not improved over six decades, and we find limited relationships with commonly stated causes of failure such as scheme size and climate.
“…In fact, as they advance, they tear up a delicate web of relationships between actors, resources, and spaces. They become traps that capture resources, people, and knowledge (Bertoncin and Pase 2017), reducing resilience to accelerated environmental and anthropogenic transformations (Eriksen 2016;Haller et al 2020). These machines rarely deliver on their promises, and enchantment can quickly turn into disenchantment.…”
Understanding the politics of climate security policy discourse: the case of the Lake Chad BasinPolicy discourse on the conflict and security implications of climate change has repeatedly found it to be overstated, misleading, and out of line with the balance of scientific evidence. However, the reasons for this recurring science-policy divide have not yet been systematically investigated. To explore this issue, we examine the case of Lake Chad, which over the last decade has become a poster child for climate conflict. We seek to understand and explain how this climate security narrative has gained such traction. Drawing on interviews and documentary analysis we examine the key practices, interests and hierarchies underpinning the narrative's rise and reproduction, and show that it is essentially a political construct, reflecting a combination of questionable epistemic manoeuvres and geopolitical, economic and climate mitigation agendas. Our findings suggest the need for change, and increased caution, in how the climate security community engages with scientific evidence.
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