Influencing factors of carbon emissions in transportation industry based on CD function and LMDI decomposition model: China as an example

Liu, Manzhi; Zhang, Xixi; Zhang, Mengya; Feng, Yuqing; Liu, Yingjie; Wen, Jixin; Liu, Liyuan

doi:10.1016/j.eiar.2021.106623

Cited by 123 publications

(44 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…Yang et al (2021) used the exponential decomposition model to analyze the driving factors of carbon emissions based on the carbon emission panel data of 78 regions and found that the production efficiency and energy-saving technology had positive effects on reducing global carbon emissions, while the growth of per capita GDP and population growth had inhibitory effects on global carbon emissions [ 22 ]. Liu et al (2021) proposed that seven factors had driving effects on carbon emissions based on the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in China’s transportation industry [ 23 ], and technical effects were the main factors in restraining carbon emissions. To sum up, scholars have conducted in-depth discussions on the research of carbon emission drivers, but most of them are confined to a certain sub-sector, such as transportation, non-ferrous metal industry, and the agriculture and industrial sectors, or are limited to a certain province or region.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Decoupling between Economic Development and Carbon Emissions and Its Driving Factors: Evidence from China

Xiao-chun

Jiang

Zhang

2022

IJERPH

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Analyzing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions is conducive to better energy saving and emission reduction. This study is based on the panel data of China’s carbon emissions, from 2009 to 2019, and quantitative analysis of the relationship between carbon emissions and economic development through the Tapio decoupling model and the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) decomposition model. The results show that: First, carbon emission and economic development are increasing year by year, and the development trend of economic growth rate and carbon emission growth rate presents the characteristics of consistency and stage. Second, China’s carbon emissions and economic development are basically in a weak decoupling state, and carbon emissions and economic development are positively correlated. Third, there are significant differences in decoupling indices among the four regions, mainly in that the central region is better than the eastern region, the eastern region is better than the northeast region, the northeast region is better than the western region, and the development of provinces in the region is unbalanced. Fourth, from the perspective of driving factors, the elasticity of population size and economic intensity can restrain the decoupling of carbon emissions, while the elasticity of energy intensity and carbon intensity have a positive effect. Finally, according to the results of empirical analysis, this paper focuses on promoting China’s emission reduction and energy sustainable development from the aspects of developing low-carbon and zero carbon technology, supporting new energy industries and promoting the construction of a carbon emission trading market.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Decoupling between Economic Development and Carbon Emissions and Its Driving Factors: Evidence from China

Xiao-chun

Jiang

Zhang

2022

IJERPH

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“…It is therefore a key factor for China to achieve and promote the transformation towards green and low-carbon development. Statistics show that from 2001 to 2018, the carbon emissions of China's transportation industry increased by an average annual rate of 7.69% [4], and total carbon emissions of this industry in 2019 was 1.1 billion t, accounting for 10% of the total national carbon emissions. In order to promote the green, circular, and low-carbon development of the transportation industry, China issued a series of policies dedicated to reducing carbon emission in the transportation industry, as the "Medium and Long-term Development Plan for Comprehensive Transportation Network" (2007), "Guiding Opinions on Building a Low-Carbon Transportation System" (2011) and "The 13th Five-Year Plan for Modern Comprehensive Transportation System" (2017), etc., especially during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China will promote low-carbon transportation equipment to adjust the energy consuming structure of the transportation industry, improve multimodal transport capabilities to adjust the transportation structure, and emphasize the leading role of technological progress in the low-carbon development of the transportation industry.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Carbon Emission Reduction Effect of Technological Innovation on the Transportation Industry and Its Spatial Heterogeneity: Evidence from China

Shi

Chan

et al. 2021

Atmosphere

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The carbon reduction effect of technological innovation in the transportation industry is conducive to China’s anticipated realization of carbon neutrality. Therefore, we evaluated carbon emission reduction effect of technological innovation in the transportation industry in China. Based on the panel data of 30 sample provinces in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and Tibet) from 2012 to 2018, using the Moran’I index and Getis-Ord Gi index, this paper analyzes the evolutionary trend and spatial autocorrelation of carbon emission in the transportation industry, and analyzes the impact of technological innovation on carbon emission levels of the transportation industry and its spatiotemporal differences by using the geographical and temporal weighted regression (GTWR) model by using ArcGIS 10.4 software. The conclusions are as follows: The carbon emission level of China’s transportation industry generally has been rising steadily, showing a spatial distribution pattern of high emissions in the east and low emissions in the west. The cold spots are concentrated in the western region, and the hot spots are situated in the central and eastern regions. Technological innovation has a carbon reduction effect on the transportation industry in the eastern and north-eastern regions, while the effect in other regions is not obvious. However, there is an obvious “inverted U-shaped” relationship between technological innovation and the transportation industry’s carbon emissions. The technological innovation in the transportation industry will have a significant carbon reduction effect after breaking through the technical pain points. This carbon reduction effect has a higher effect on the western region than on the eastern region. In addition, the economic development level, the fiscal expenditure proportion of the transportation industry, the higher education level, and the proportion of fixed asset investment in the transportation industry have played a positive role in reducing carbon in the transportation industry, but the spatial heterogeneity of this carbon reduction effect is relatively strong. Therefore, during the “14th Five-Year Plan” development period in China, it is necessary to continuously promote the low-carbon development of the transportation industry with technological innovation, while highlighting the differentiated carbon reduction governance, and consolidating the role of talents and fiscal support.

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“…Numerous nations, including China, have realized that a fair and sustainable development system needs to be established to meet future generations' needs and further contribute to current social and economic developments. With the rapid development of the transportation sector in the world, the proportion of transportation's carbon emissions continued to grow, which has exceeded 25% of the world's total carbon emissions (Liu et al, 2021). In 2020, President Xi Jinping announced that China aimed to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieved carbon neutrality by 2060 (socalled "Dual-Carbon" target).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on the Low-Carbon Development Path and Policy Options of China’s Transportation Under the Background of Dual Carbon Goals

Wang

Zhou

et al. 2022

Front. Environ. Sci.

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Chinese government has proposed ambitious targets to combat climate change. As carbon emissions of China’s transportation have been rapidly increasing in past decades, massive efforts for carbon reduction need to be taken by transportation sector. Research on practical action paths for transportation sector’s low-carbon development are critical to achieving the Paris Agreement goals and China’s “Dual-Carbon” Target. Based on the transportation’s historical carbon emissions and the new possible trends in the future, this paper uses a forecast model to predict transportation’s carbon emission. Then we adopt a scenario analysis to analyze the total transportation demand in the transportation sector from 2021 to 2060. We quantitatively simulated the emission reduction effects of different policy measures under different scenarios, such as optimization of transportation structure, application of energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies, and new energy vehicles. The results provide paths and measures for the low-carbon development of transportation, and provides policy suggestion for the scientific formulation of the low-carbon development.

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Influencing factors of carbon emissions in transportation industry based on CD function and LMDI decomposition model: China as an example

Cited by 123 publications

References 56 publications

Decoupling between Economic Development and Carbon Emissions and Its Driving Factors: Evidence from China

Decoupling between Economic Development and Carbon Emissions and Its Driving Factors: Evidence from China

The Carbon Emission Reduction Effect of Technological Innovation on the Transportation Industry and Its Spatial Heterogeneity: Evidence from China

Research on the Low-Carbon Development Path and Policy Options of China’s Transportation Under the Background of Dual Carbon Goals

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