Indonesia's Economic Growth Forecasting

Teguh, Muhammad; Bashir, Abdul

doi:10.29259/sijdeb.v3i2.134-145

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…L * t -Potential employment level, Ls t -Number of employable people in terms of age, Tr p,t -Proportion of labor participation, U * t -Unemployment rate caused by reasons other than wages. Due to the lack of Tr p,t and U * t data in China, the potential employment level is difficult to estimate [38]. This work refers to the trend elimination method in relevant literature to replace some missing data.…”

Section: Estimation Of Potential Outputsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Impact of Carbon Emission Control on Urban Economic Indicators based on the Concept of Green Economy under Sustainable Development

Xie

Li²,

Cao

2023

Sustainability

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With the deepening of the concept of sustainable development, a green economy has become the primary goal of urban development. Therefore, to improve the sustainability and far-reaching development of the urban economy, this work first discusses the concept of sustainable development. Second, the concept of a “green economy” is discussed. Lastly, based on the concept of green economic development, this work studies carbon emissions in Hebei Province, China, and discusses the impact of carbon emissions on the urban economy. On this basis, the impact of carbon intensity and CO2 emissions on economic growth is analyzed by establishing an endogenous growth model and state-space model, thereby revealing the importance of carbon emissions to the economic development of Hebei Province. In the analysis process, sensitivity analysis and a robustness test are also used to verify the reliability and robustness of the model results. Finally, this work summarizes the research conclusions and puts forward relevant policy suggestions, which provide a reference for developing a green economy in Hebei Province. The results reveal that from 1999 to 2020, the average output elasticity of labor, capital, and CO2 in Hebei Province are 0.4002, 0.3057, and 0.2941, respectively. This shows that carbon emissions are essential to Hebei’s economic growth. In other words, Hebei’s economic development mainly depends on enterprises with high carbon emissions. Additionally, in the optimistic case, Hebei’s potential output growth rate will show a downward trend, but will soon rise. This indicates that even under strict carbon emission control, Hebei’s economic growth rate will still pick up based on the support of high-tech. This work not only provides a reference for the development of Hebei’s green economic system, but also contributes to the sustainable development of the urban economy in the future.

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Section: Estimation Of Potential Outputsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Impact of Carbon Emission Control on Urban Economic Indicators based on the Concept of Green Economy under Sustainable Development

Xie

Li²,

Cao

2023

Sustainability

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“…Compared with some of the other findings of the recent study, some similarities and differences can be compared. During the recession, a large increase in the size of compensation partly compensated for the loss of consumer income for all people, regardless of their role in the household disposable income distribution (O'Donoghue et al, 2020 andTeguh &Bashir, 2019).…”

Section: Source: Authors Calculationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting the Inequality of Income Distribution in Consequence of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Suparmono¹,

Partina²

2021

JEP

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This study aims to forecasting the Covid-19 Pandemic's effect on income inequality distribution in Kulon-Progo Regency during of 2020 to 2028. The study analysis tools utilized forecast are linear and non-linear trend. The historical data use during of 2010 to 2019, data source obtained from Central Bureau of Statistics Yogyakarta in statistical series book of 2020. The findings of forecast result show that the Covid-19 pandemic directly impact on the increased income inequality distribution. The implication is to carry out the process of economic recovery due to the Covid-19 pandemic case by identifying community groups who are vulnerable to decreased income through strengthening social safety nets. In addition, government policies can also optimize the utilization and transportation services to increase farmer exchange rates, because most people work in the agricultural sector.

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Evaluation of multidimensional sustainability status of vannamei shrimp hatchery in Situbondo regency

Pongoh

Dhamayanthi

Iskandar

2021

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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Vannamei shrimp (Litopenaeus vannamei) is a high-value commodity in fisheries. The volume of Indonesian vannamei shrimp production increased by 15.06% / year in the 2014-2018 period. This research wants to ensure that these conditions are sustainable in the future. The sustainability of the vannamei shrimp hatchery in this study is viewed from the dimensions of the environment, technology and quality system as well as the recommended policy scenario. The value of the sustainability status of the vannamei shrimp hatchery in terms of three aspects, overall is 57.34 this value is categorized as quite sustainable and the analysis of the effect of the sustainability attributes shows that in general this business can be said to be sustainable with several corrective actions, namely improving the quality of seeds and managing hatchery waste. Policy scenarios that can be offered based on the results of this research include; (1) the environmental dimension, it is to improve hatchery conditions and manage waste to avoid environmental damage;(2) the technological dimension it is to improve shrimp hatchery technology by collaborating with a marine commodity research center; (3) the quality system dimension, is to carry out an adequate production control system and evaluate the production process effectively.

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Indonesia's Economic Growth Forecasting

Cited by 3 publications

References 0 publications

Analysis of the Impact of Carbon Emission Control on Urban Economic Indicators based on the Concept of Green Economy under Sustainable Development

Analysis of the Impact of Carbon Emission Control on Urban Economic Indicators based on the Concept of Green Economy under Sustainable Development

Forecasting the Inequality of Income Distribution in Consequence of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Evaluation of multidimensional sustainability status of vannamei shrimp hatchery in Situbondo regency

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