Implications of climate change predictions for UK cropping and prospects for possible mitigation: a review of challenges and potential responses

Rial-Lovera, Karen; Davies, W. P.; Cannon, Nicola

doi:10.1002/jsfa.7767

Cited by 27 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 132 publications

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“…These estimations are consistent with recent findings of Rial-Lovera et al [20] and Eitzinger et al [27]. Additionally, the work of Rozbicki et al [28] and Bilgin et al [29] described that the yield stability of winter wheat was subject to complex interaction between the cultivar and other environmental factors, such as nitrogen supply, rainfall, temperature and soil fertility.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

“…Additionally, several respondents argued that plant breeding was assumed as the most promising approach to improve yield stability of winter wheat. The high importance of cultivar choice and plant breeding was congruent with findings from related studies [3,8,20]. Plant breeding has led to an increased yield potential for wheat through increasing the harvest index, radiation interception and its use efficiency in the plants in addition to interactions between nitrogen, phosphorous and carbon dynamics [31].…”

Section: Cultivar Choice and Plant Breedingsupporting

confidence: 63%

“…In contrast, diverse crop rotations with favorable preceding crops (e.g., legumes) affect the yield stability of the main crop winter wheat positively [15][16][17][18][19]. Beyond that, cultivar choice is an effective tool in farming practice, which is used to support yield stable wheat production [3,12,20]. In particular, a higher yield and enhanced yield stability have been found for hybrid cultivars in comparison to inbred lines of wheat [9].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Yield Stability in Winter Wheat Production: A Survey on German Farmers’ and Advisors’ Views

Macholdt

Honermeier

2017

Agronomy

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Most of the available research studies have focused on the production of high grain yields of wheat and have neglected yield stability. However, yield stability is a relevant factor in agronomic practice and, therefore, is the focus of this comprehensive survey. The aim was to first describe the importance of yield stability as well as currently used practical management strategies that ensure yield stability in wheat production and secondly, to obtain potential research areas supporting yield stability in the complex system of agronomy. The target groups were German farmers with experience in wheat production and advisors with expertise in the field of wheat cultivation or research. A sample size of 615 completed questionnaires formed the data basis of this study. The study itself provides evidence that the yield stability of winter wheat is even more important than the amount of yield for a large proportion of farmers (48%) and advisors (47%). Furthermore, in the view of the majority of the surveyed farmers and advisors, yield stability is gaining importance in climate change. Data analysis showed that site adapted cultivar choice, favorable crop rotations and integrated plant protection are ranked as three of the most important agronomic management practices to achieve high yield stability of wheat. Soil tillage and fertilization occupied a middle position, whereas sowing date and sowing density were estimated with lower importance. However, yield stability is affected by many environmental, genetic and agronomic factors, which subsequently makes it a complex matter. Hence, yield stability in farming practice must be analyzed and improved in a systems approach.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

Section: Cultivar Choice and Plant Breedingsupporting

confidence: 63%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Yield Stability in Winter Wheat Production: A Survey on German Farmers’ and Advisors’ Views

Macholdt

Honermeier

2017

Agronomy

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“…Rial-Lovera at al. [18] reviewed the range of agricultural practices that could help farmers adapt to changes in climate. They can be considered under the main headings of crop and soil management.…”

Section: Rainfall Deficitmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience of Primary Food Production to a Changing Climate: On-Farm Responses to Water-Related Risks

Hess

Knox

Holman

et al. 2020

Water

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Water is a fundamental component in primary food production, whether it be rainfall, irrigation used to water crops, or for supplying drinking water for animals, while the amount of water in the soil determines it capacity to support machinery and animals. We identify that UK agriculture is exposed to five main water-related risks: agricultural drought, scarcity of water resources, restrictions on the right to abstract water, excess soil water, and inundation. Projected milder, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers by the end of the century will change the frequency, persistence, or severity of each of these risks. This paper critically reviews and synthesizes the scientific literature on the impact of these risks on primary food production and the technological and managerial strategies employed to build resilience to these changing risks. At the farm scale, the emphasis has been on strategies to build robustness to reduce the impact of a water-related risk. However, collaborative partnerships allow for a more optimal allocation of water during times of scarcity. Enhancing cross-scale interactions, learning opportunities, and catchment-scale autonomy will be key to ensuring the agricultural system can build adaptive and transformational capacity.

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“…In addition, evaluations of the consequences of climate change for cereal production were carried out in several studies [21], and align with the statements made by the surveyed farmers and advisors, especially with regard to increasing yield variability, incidence of disease and loss of yield. The extent of consequences due to climate change depends on site conditions, including soil quality/fertility, water-holding capacity, rainfall distribution, solar radiation and rate of evaporation [7].…”

Section: Similar Perception Of Climate Change Impactmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Climate Change on Cultivar Choice: Adaptation Strategies of Farmers and Advisors in German Cereal Production

Macholdt

Honermeier

2016

Agronomy

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Abstract:The objective of this study is to understand which requirements for cereal cultivars-with regard to climate change adaptation-are in demand by farmers and advisors, and to clarify whether there are any differences in their assessments. A comparative survey was used to collect data from 410 farmers and 114 advisors in Germany. The majority of both farmers and advisors reported perceivable effects of climatic change on plant production. The increase in droughts and hot spells, the increased incidence of torrential rain, and mild winters were mentioned as the main effects of climate change. For climate change adaptation, the farmers and advisors mostly relied on a locally-adapted cultivar selection. It is estimated that eco-stability, grain yield, resistance to lodging and drought tolerance are important cultivar properties. In the study, farmers and advisors equally pointed out the need for additional cultivar evaluation according to eco-stability. Finally, only minor differences regarding farmers' and advisors' assessments were found within the study. The outcome of this research points to the need of implementing farmers' demands in cultivar recommendations. For example, an impartial assessment of cultivars' eco-stability could help support the choice of cultivars and reduce the growing risks in cereal production with regard to climate change.

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Implications of climate change predictions for UK cropping and prospects for possible mitigation: a review of challenges and potential responses

Cited by 27 publications

References 132 publications

Yield Stability in Winter Wheat Production: A Survey on German Farmers’ and Advisors’ Views

Yield Stability in Winter Wheat Production: A Survey on German Farmers’ and Advisors’ Views

Resilience of Primary Food Production to a Changing Climate: On-Farm Responses to Water-Related Risks

Impact of Climate Change on Cultivar Choice: Adaptation Strategies of Farmers and Advisors in German Cereal Production

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