2002
DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-3059.2002.00738.x
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Phytophthora infestans's 10‐year truce with Holland: a long‐term analysis of potato late‐blight epidemics in the Netherlands

Abstract: A sequence of 47 potato late-blight ( Phytophthora infestans ) epidemics in the Netherlands, from 1950 to 1996, was analysed using agronomic and meteorological variables. The intensity of annual epidemics was characterized by an index of disease intensity (DI, 0 = absence of late blight; 4 = severe epidemic). Three periods were identified, with average DIs of 2·9, 0 and 2, respectively. Period I (1950 -68) had relatively regular epidemics; period II (1969-78) was virtually blight free; and period III (1979-96)… Show more

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Cited by 39 publications
(25 citation statements)
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“…The heavy weatherdependence of the disease cycle also required that environmentpathogen interactions were included in the model. In order to maintain transparency of model results, a highly idealized set of environmentpathogen relations were developed using the experimental results of Zwankhuizen and Zadoks [25] were conducive for potato blight disease. In this study, higher level of disease severity was recorded at low temperature and high rainfall ranges, explaining that, rainfall by keeping temperature low, favours disease.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The heavy weatherdependence of the disease cycle also required that environmentpathogen interactions were included in the model. In order to maintain transparency of model results, a highly idealized set of environmentpathogen relations were developed using the experimental results of Zwankhuizen and Zadoks [25] were conducive for potato blight disease. In this study, higher level of disease severity was recorded at low temperature and high rainfall ranges, explaining that, rainfall by keeping temperature low, favours disease.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In The Netherlands, a change in weather variables at the transition from 1979 to 1980, when there was a resurgence of severe late blight epidemics after a '10-year truce ' (1969-1978), was one possible factor (along with the occurrence of phenylamide resistance and the introduction of the new population), which Zwankhuizen and Zadoks (2002) suggested might have contributed to increased disease in the period [1979][1980][1981][1982][1983][1984][1985][1986]. How such changes may have affected late blight in the UK (and elsewhere in Europe) is unclear.…”
Section: Ukmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…An unprotected potato crop can be completely destroyed before tuber formation, resulting in total crop loss. Yearly variations in yield losses can be huge and highly dependent on meteorological factors influencing both incidence and severity of leaf and tuber blight (Crosier, 1934; Hirst & Steadman, 1960a; Croxall & Smith, 1976; Zwankhuizen & Zadoks, 2002).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%