How can Azerbaijan meet its Paris Agreement commitments: assessing the effectiveness of climate change-related energy policy options using LEAP modeling

Felver, Troy B.

doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04697

Cited by 26 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Many publications used LEAP as a tool to develop and analyze energy models. The LEAP model implements integrated scenario analysis in air pollutant reduction [22]. This study showed the capability of LEAP to develop, analyze, and compare different scenarios to reduce air pollutants from the energy sector, and the viability of the model can be comprehensively analyzed using LEAP.…”

Section: A Leap Modelmentioning

confidence: 96%

Contributing to Low Emission Development through Regional Energy Planning in West Papua

Bawan¹,

Hasibi²

2022

Int. J. Adv. Sci. Eng. Inf. Technol.

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A model of regional energy planning has been developed based in West Papua province. Regional energy planning had two major scenarios: baseline and mitigation. Mitigation scenarios consisted of energy efficiency and fuel switch scenarios. All scenarios are implemented for industrial, commercial, household, transportation, and other sectors. A baseline scenario has been used to reflect energy demand without any intervention from the new energy policy in West Papua Province. The energy efficiency scenario describes the impact of more efficient vehicles and appliances on energy consumption. In the transportation sector, the energy efficiency scenario included a mode change scenario. The use of renewable energy has been included in the fuel switch scenario. In supply-side planning, renewable energy sources have been accommodated to meet a portion of electricity demand. The model of regional energy planning has been implemented by Long-range Energy Alternative Planning software. A cost-benefit analysis has been included in this study. The result indicated that the same goal of a regional development program could be achieved with less emission. By implementing the mitigation scenario, overall energy demand at the end of the projection period can be reduced by 16.63 PJ compared to the baseline. As an impact, the mitigation scenario's global warming potential is 15.89% less than a baseline scenario. It can be concluded that the emission intensity by the implementation of the mitigation scenario is 8.93 Thousand Ton CO2, Equivalent/Billion USD.

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Section: A Leap Modelmentioning

confidence: 96%

Contributing to Low Emission Development through Regional Energy Planning in West Papua

Bawan¹,

Hasibi²

2022

Int. J. Adv. Sci. Eng. Inf. Technol.

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“…Over the past decade, from 2010 to 2020, all fuel tariffs in South Africa have seen a signi cant increase, with an approximate growth of 100% [15]. This dramatic surge in fuel prices has come in tandem with a growth in the transport sector's demand for energy, contributing to a rise in both fuel costs and carbon emissions.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy sustainability and carbon dioxide emissions mitigation Options for South Africa’s Road Transport Sector

Ntuli,

Eloka-Eboka,

Mwangi

et al. 2023

Preprint

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Background The transport sector in South Africa is responsible for around 11% of the country's carbon dioxide emissions, with road transport contributing an overwhelming 90% of this total, as noted by the South African Green Transport Energy of South Africa. As part of its commitment to global climate pacts, South Africa aims to reduce emissions from its road transport sector. Yet, studies focused on reducing energy consumption and related emissions in this sector have been sparse. Results Utilizing a bottom-up accounting modelling framework, this research investigated five low-carbon transition scenarios alongside a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario for road transport. These scenarios comprised Fuel and Technology Switching (FTS), Modal Shift (MS), Logistics Improvement (LI), Energy Efficient (EEF), and a Combined Mitigation (CMT). The BAU scenario was established as a benchmark to demonstrate energy demand and emissions in the absence of changes to current practices or policies. According to our model, under the BAU scenario, there will be a 61% surge in final energy demand, from 769 petajoules (PJ) in 2020 to 1240 PJ by 2050, accompanied by a proportional increase in emissions. The study revealed that the implementation of any of the alternative low-carbon scenarios could yield a reduced energy demand by 2050. Significantly, a combined approach, integrating multiple low-carbon policies, can achieve more substantial reductions in energy demand and CO2 emissions than applying single policies separately. Conclusions This study emphasizes the importance of crafting province-specific solutions, acknowledging that challenges and contexts vary between provinces. Furthermore, lessening energy reliance not only diminishes the nation's fuel import bills but also improves air quality and aids in achieving low emission targets.

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“…The effect of variations in demand is studied through analyses with different demand scenarios, and useful energy demand is an important input to the LEAP model [8]. The LEAP software includes the following features: a prediction tool, tools for analyzing energy policies, tools for analyzing the physical, economic, and environmental effects of alternative energy programs, and optimization measures [7]. LEAP is an integrated modeling tool that can track energy consumption, production, and resource extraction in all sectors of an economy.…”

Section: Energy System Scenarios 2015-2050mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…There are many cases done on the direction of GHG reduction policies. For instance, Felver [7] shows Azerbaijan has committed to cutting GHG emissions by 35% by 2030 under the Paris Agreement. By applying LEAP, a well-regarded forecasting model based on inventories de ned under the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), GHG emissions projections are modeled in LEAP.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy System Analysis with a Focus on Future Energy Demand Projections: the case of Norway

Malka

Bidaj

Jaku

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Post Covid-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian war is having a significant impact on energy systems worldwide, faltering investments and threatening to throttle the expansion of primary clean energy technologies even in the case of a well-structured and managed energy system, such as Norway. This unprecedented crisis requires deeper analyses of different national energy systems. Hence, providing and highlighting needed interventions and improvements in the actual energy system in the case of Norway is crucial. The focus of this study is to analyze demand-side in households, industry, and transport sectors. LEAP model, a powerful demand-side energy system analysis tool, was used to conduct the analysis. The energy demand projections for 2050 are estimated firstly by considering a population growth rate of 0.8%. Secondly, Norway has set itself an ambitious target of decreasing GHG emissions in 2030 by 55% compared to 1990 levels and 90–95% by the year 2050. It aims the diversification of the overall national energy system. From the perspective of climate change mitigation, EVs include an attractive option, other sustainable fuel sources such as H2, biofuel mixed with diesel, the use of excess heat to cover households' heating demand supplied by industry, and integration of large-scale heat pumps driven by RES during off-peak demand is applied. Energy demand projections are uncertain, and the main goal is to show how different scenario projections up to 2050 affect the energy system of Norway, showing that the combined global warming potential (GWP) will be around 28.9 million metric CO2 from 66 million metric CO2 tones released in the current account scenario.

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How can Azerbaijan meet its Paris Agreement commitments: assessing the effectiveness of climate change-related energy policy options using LEAP modeling

Cited by 26 publications

References 17 publications

Contributing to Low Emission Development through Regional Energy Planning in West Papua

Contributing to Low Emission Development through Regional Energy Planning in West Papua

Energy sustainability and carbon dioxide emissions mitigation Options for South Africa’s Road Transport Sector

Energy System Analysis with a Focus on Future Energy Demand Projections: the case of Norway

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