Global warming and tropical cyclone damage to housing in the Philippines

Esteban, Miguel; Stromberg, Per M.; Gasparatos, Alexandros; Thompson-Pomeroy, Dexter

doi:10.3354/cr01134

Cited by 9 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Also, an analysis of the trends in the upper quantiles of cyclone maximum wind speeds found a significant upward trend for wind speed quantiles above the 70th percentile (Elsner et al, 2008). Such increases could have important consequence for coastal areas, ports, and deltas that would be affected by higher waves and storm surges, and suffer more disruption to economic activities as well as people's daily life (Takagi et al, 2011(Takagi et al, , 2014aEsteban et al, 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Track analysis, simulation, and field survey of the 2013 Typhoon Haiyan storm surge

Takagi

Esteban

Shibayama

et al. 2015

J Flood Risk Management

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14The authors have examined the characteristics of Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda), which This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process, which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as doi: 10.1111/jfr3.12136 Accepted ArticleThis article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Track analysis, simulation, and field survey of the 2013 Typhoon Haiyan storm surge

Takagi

Esteban

Shibayama

et al. 2015

J Flood Risk Management

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“…[65] Philippines could possibly suffer an overall productivity loss, lowering GDP from 17% to 58% along with increasing direct damage to housing if adaptive measures are not taken. [66] Vietnam is a densely populated coastal country with diversity that increases the chances of the country to be hit by cyclone, the rise in the sea level, drought, floods, typhoon, and landslide which eventually make it as one of the most hazard-prone country in the world. According to United States Agency International Development (USAID), climate change had claimed 9500 lives that were responsible for losses equal to 1.5% of annual GDP between 2001 and 2010.…”

Section: (6 Of 18)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Fog‐to‐Water for Water Scarcity in Climate‐Change Hazards Hotspots: Pilot Study in Southeast Asia

Ismail

2021

Global Challenges

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the world has already experienced severe water scarcity for at least one month in a year, and it is expected that by 2030, about 700 million people could be influenced by intense water scarcity. [3] Since the demand for water has been increasing along with growing global population and socio-economic development especially in industrial and domestic sector, the United Nations (UN) General Assembly unanimously adopted a resolution to focus on this serious water issue for ten years (2018)(2019)(2020)(2021)(2022)(2023)(2024)(2025)(2026)(2027)(2028). From 2018 to 2028, UNSDG will focus on sustainable development, management of water resources, access to water supply, and sanitation services.Water usage has been increasing worldwide because the global water demand and the effects of climate change intensify. Water demand has been increasing and continues to increase worldwide by about 1% per year since 1980s and through rough estimation, by 2050, water demand will increase up to 20% to 30% above the current level of water usage. [4] According to Ritchie and Roser, about 3.99 trillion m 3 of freshwater withdrawals were utilized for agriculture, industry, and municipal uses in 2014, but since the amount of water usage is still ascending, the amount of clean water will further shorten in the future. [5] India had the largest freshwater withdrawal of over 760 billion cubic meters per year, followed by China and United States which withdrew 600 and 480 billion m 3 , respectively in 2014. [6] It has been estimated that 2.1 billion people do not have access to safe as well as clean drinking water that causes 1.2 million deaths each year which generally is three times the number of homicides and equal to the number that died in road accidents globally. [6] Generally, ten billion tons of freshwater will be used up worldwide on a daily basis. United Nation estimates that 30% of the population in the world residing in 50 countries will face water scarcity or shortage. China is the country that spends the most amount of the water followed by United States of America,

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“…It is clear that strong typhoons can result in great damage to housing or agricultural production in the Philippines, among other consequences (Stromberg et al 2011, Esteban et al 2013. This can lead to serious coastal erosion and the damage to port infrastructure, coastal revetments, and breakwaters (Takagi et al 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Future typhoon and storm surges under different global warming scenarios: case study of typhoon Haiyan (2013)

et al. 2016

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The present work evaluates potential future typhoon and storm surges around the islands of Samar and Leyte in the Philippines taking into account monthly mean sea surface temperatures, atmospheric air temperature, and relative humidity (hereafter, SST, AAT, and RH) from MIROC5 according to four scenarios proposed by IPCC AR5. Supertyphoon Haiyan (2013), which caused catastrophic damage to coastal areas in the Philippines due to its high winds and storm surge, was used as the case study storm given that it was one of the tropical cyclones recorded in modern history. In this study, the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting Model (ARW-WRF) is used to estimate the characteristics of both the present-day Haiyan and a typhoon with a similar return period under the climate condition of the year 2100. The unstructured, Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) was used to estimate both the present and potential future storm surges. The research has two main focuses. First, both the historical event and its storm surge are simulated and contrasted with field measurements of the storm surge height in order to prove the accuracy of the model. Second, the future typhoon and storm surge are estimated using the monthly mean value differences in SST, AAT, and RH from MIROC5 between 2011-2020 and 2091-2100 for the different scenarios. The & Ryota Nakamura characteristics of the simulated typhoon route and storm surge heights agree well with those of the best track data and field measurements. The numerical results of the future typhoon show that, if climate change is considered to only increase SST, its intensity and storm surge will be larger than under the present climate. The minimum sea-level pressure (hereafter, MSLP) of the future typhoon under scenario RCP 8.5 would be about 21 hPa lower and the storm surge 2.7 m higher than in the present climate. However, if SST, AAT, and RH are also taken into account, then the increase in typhoon intensity will not be as marked as if only SST is considered, with the MSLP under RCP 8.5 decreasing only by 13 hPa and the storm surge increasing by 0.7 m. The results of the present research thus suggest that while increases in SST can contribute to the intensification of future typhoons, increases in AAT and RH will somehow moderate this effect. Nevertheless, all scenarios considered point out to stronger typhoons and higher storm surges, clearly highlighting the perils posed by future climate change.

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Global warming and tropical cyclone damage to housing in the Philippines

Cited by 9 publications

References 17 publications

Track analysis, simulation, and field survey of the 2013 Typhoon Haiyan storm surge

Track analysis, simulation, and field survey of the 2013 Typhoon Haiyan storm surge

Fog‐to‐Water for Water Scarcity in Climate‐Change Hazards Hotspots: Pilot Study in Southeast Asia

Future typhoon and storm surges under different global warming scenarios: case study of typhoon Haiyan (2013)

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