Four dimensional Science and Technology planning: A new approach based on bibliometrics and technology roadmapping

Huang, Lu; Zhang, Yi; Guo, Ying; Zhu, Ding; Porter, Alan L.

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2012.09.010

Cited by 115 publications

(68 citation statements)

References 10 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Furthermore, a focus group was used to identify the most urgent problems concerning slope-land and to outline 28 issues related to soil and water resources. The Delphi method was used to investigate five aspects of these issues, familiarity, priority, national living quality, ecological environment, and industry [25], to pursue consensus among experts on specific problems. Finally, a strategy roadmap was employed [19,26].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic Planning for Land Use under Extreme Climate Changes: A Case Study in Taiwan

Huang

Lee²

2016

Sustainability

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Extreme weather caused by global climate change affects slope-land in Taiwan, causing soil loss, floods, and sediment hazards. Although Taiwan is a small island, the population density is ranked second highest worldwide. With three-fourths of the island area being slope-land, soil and water conservation (SWC) is crucial. Therefore, because of the impact of climate and social change, the means of maintaining sustainable development of slope-land and the safety of the living environment in Taiwan is a developing and crucial issue. This study applied four foresight analysis tools that covered both qualitative and quantitative aspects, including international trend analysis, a focus group, the Delphi method, and a strategy roadmap. By combining the four analysis tools, we developed corresponding strategies to address climate change for use as references for policy-makers. The findings of this study can contribute to consensus-forming among multiple stakeholders on the sustainable development of soil and water resources and to devising foresight strategies for SWC in short-term, middle-term, and long-term bases. Ultimately, the goal of "considering climate and socioeconomic change, watershed resources being managed on a multiple-use basis to avoid disasters and to sustain SWC" can be realized by the year 2025.

show abstract

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic Planning for Land Use under Extreme Climate Changes: A Case Study in Taiwan

Huang

Lee²

2016

Sustainability

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Representatively, Huang et al [7] introduced a bibliometrics technique-based four-dimensional TRM for the science and technology planning of China's solar cell industry; Zhang et al [22] combined TRM model with Triple Helix innovation and Semantic TRIZ concepts, and presented an empirical study on China's dye sensitized solar cell industry; Lee et al [11] proposed a scenario-based TRM that involved with a plan assessment map and an activity assessment map for organizational plans, which also engaged the Bayesian network for topology and a causal relations definition. Geum et al [5] added association rule mining to TRM, which provides a useful approach to identify relations between the items in different layers.…”

Section: A Technology Roadmappingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to previous studies, it is promising to conclude the benefits of the current TRM studies as follows: 1) TRM provides a visual model to present content, which enables easy understanding of both the macro and micro level [19]; 2) The hierarchical structure of TRM helps to indicate the potential relationships between items on different layers [5]; 3) The flexibility of TRM sensibly adds multiple-dimensional impact factors for consideration, e.g., time, science policy, market pull, and technique push [7,10,15]; and 4) the previous TRM studies have perfect adaptability for general publication, and patent data sources and match well to the requests from different industry domains.…”

Section: A Technology Roadmappingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Semi-automatic Technology Roadmapping Composing Method for Multiple Science, Technology, and Innovation Data Incorporation

Zhang

Chen

Zhu

2016

Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract--Since its first engagement with industry decades ago, Technology Roadmapping (TRM) is taking a more and more important role for technical intelligence in current R&D planning and innovation tracking. Important topics for both science policy and engineering management researchers involves with the approaches that refer to the real-world problems, explore value-added information from the complex data sets, fuse the analytic results and expert knowledge effectively and reasonable, and demonstrate to the decision makers visually and understandable. Moreover, the growing variety of science data sources in the Big Data Age increases these challenges and opportunities. Addressing these concerns, this paper proposes a TRM composing method with a clustering-based topic identification model, a multiple science data sources integration model, and a semi-automated fuzzy set-based TRM composing model with expert aid. We focus on a case study on computer science related R&D. Empirical data from the United States National Science Foundation Award data (innovative research ideas and proposals) and Derwent Innovation Index data source (patents emphasizing technical products) provide vantage points at two stages of the R&D process. The understanding gained will assist in description of computer science macro-trends for R&D decision makers.

show abstract

“…2016 www.anpad.org.br/rac análise fatorial e de cluster, mapas conceituais, análise de citação e de cocitação, entre outros (Daim et al, 2006). Devido à multiplicação dos bancos de dados que compilam informações e do poder de processamento dos computadores, o uso da Análise Bibliométrica enriquece uma base empírica de pesquisa (Huang, Zhang, Guo, Zhu, & Porter, 2014).…”

Section: Critério: Complexidade Da Operacionalizaçãounclassified

Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo

2016

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Resumo As tecnologias futuras podem afetar o negócio da empresa, e sua prospecção é um passo importante no planejamento, especialmente das empresas que atuam em tecnologias de ponta. O objetivo deste trabalho é realizar um estudo teórico comparativo sobre as principais técnicas de prospecção de tecnologias futuras, avaliadas em relação a seis critérios: custo para operacionalização; número necessário de pessoas; tempo necessário para obter o resultado; complexidade da operacionalização, ou seja, facilidade de aplicação; tipo de análise (subjetiva ou objetiva), sendo as técnicas quantitativas consideradas como mais objetivas; confiabilidade dos resultados (consistência e replicabilidade). Com esse estudo comparativo, são fornecidos parâmetros para ajudar as empresas na seleção das técnicas prospectivas mais adequadas, de acordo com suas necessidades. Em termos metodológicos, é uma pesquisa de natureza qualitativa. Quanto ao propósito, constitui uma pesquisa descritiva que utiliza levantamento bibliográfico e pesquisa documental como métodos de coleta de dados. Conclui-se que é vantajoso usar várias técnicas simultaneamente, proporcionando mais eficiência e fazendo com que as previsões sejam mais robustas. Por fim, espera-se que este artigo inicie um debate sobre os critérios de seleção de técnicas de prospecção de tecnologias futuras.

show abstract

Four dimensional Science and Technology planning: A new approach based on bibliometrics and technology roadmapping

Cited by 115 publications

References 10 publications

Strategic Planning for Land Use under Extreme Climate Changes: A Case Study in Taiwan

Strategic Planning for Land Use under Extreme Climate Changes: A Case Study in Taiwan

Semi-automatic Technology Roadmapping Composing Method for Multiple Science, Technology, and Innovation Data Incorporation

Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About