Foreign Powers and Intervention in Armed Conflicts

Aydın, Ayşegül

doi:10.1515/9780804782944

Cited by 7 publications

(15 citation statements)

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“…While host countries mainly suffer from civil and international conflicts, third parties may benefit from them. External state actors tend to intervene in armed conflict primarily out of their own economic and national security interests (Aydin, 2012;World Bank, 2020). Potential benefits for third parties include enhanced access to natural resources and trade, improved national security, and geostrategic advantages (Chang, Potter & Sanders, 2007;Bove, Gleditsch & Sekeris, 2016;Bove, Deiana & Nistico `, 2018).…”

Section: Possible Influences Of Conflict On Economic Growthmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Disaggregating our main results, we find that Asia has suffered the most from conflict; while many developed economies in North America, Europe and Oceania are found to have benefited from their participation. A potential explanation for this is that external state actors intervene in armed conflicts primarily out of their own economic and national security interests (Aydin, 2012;Bove, Gleditsch & Sekeris, 2016;Bove, Deiana & Nistico `, 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The global economic burden of violent conflict

Groot¹,

Bozzoli

Alamir

et al. 2022

Journal of Peace Research

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Calculating the consequences of global public bads such as climate change or pandemics helps uncover the scale, distribution and structure of their economic burdens. As violent conflict affects billions of people worldwide, whether directly or indirectly, this article sets out to estimate its global macro-economic repercussions. Using a novel methodology that accounts for multiple dimensions of war, the article finds that, in the absence of violent conflict since 1970, the level of global GDP in 2014 would have been, on average, 12% higher. When disaggregating these results by conflict type, civil conflicts are estimated to have been the costliest by far. Income growth is found to be altered up to four years following the end of a conflict, although the direction of this relationship depends on the intensity and type of conflict. Countries also suffer significantly from fighting in neighbouring countries, thereby showing the importance of mitigating spillovers rapidly. The largest absolute losses associated with violence emanate from Asia, while many high-income economies are found to benefit economically from participating in conflicts on foreign soil. This analysis thus shows that, despite some evidence of a faster post-conflict growth and possible benefits for external participants, violent conflict leads to net global losses that linger long after peace is achieved, reducing the peace dividend. The article concludes by discussing public policy options to strengthen the benefits of peace as a global public good.

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Section: Possible Influences Of Conflict On Economic Growthmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The global economic burden of violent conflict

Groot¹,

Bozzoli

Alamir

et al. 2022

Journal of Peace Research

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Although a significant body of research has accumulated about states' decisions to intervene, on whose side to intervene [44], and what kind of instruments to use, e.g., diplomatic or direct military intervention, previously explored causal mechanisms are surprisingly limited to security-related incentives [12,21,[45][46][47][48][49][50][51][52]. One recent exception is the work of Aydın [53], who examines the influence of liberal ideology on intervention abroad by focusing on US foreign policy. The oft-cited political motives include, but are not limited to, utilizing armed groups as proxies to settle longstanding issues with rivals, containing the conflict to prevent civil war contagion and the spread of instability in the international arena, helping trans-border ethnic kin, and offering humanitarian aid [12,14,17,[54][55][56].…”

Section: Extant Research On Energy Resources Conflict and Internatiomentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Some empirical findings also consider the role of bilateral trade ties and economic interests on a state's decision to intervene in a civil war [53,76]. In today's world, global energy supply networks represent an important component of trade ties, especially between resource-rich countries and import-dependent countries.…”

Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does natural gas fuel civil war? Rethinking energy security, international relations, and fossil-fuel conflict

San-Akca

Sever

Yılmaz

2020

Energy Research & Social Science

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This article advances theoretical and empirical knowledge at the nexus of energy politics and conflict intervention by analyzing the complex dynamics connecting energy resources, civil war, and outside state support of rebel groups. It focuses on the role of global energy supply competition in states’ decision to support armed groups that are involved in conflicts in other states. Further, this study enhances the extant research that focuses primarily on the resource wealth of conflict-ridden states by analyzing the effect of the interveners' resource wealth on their sponsorship of foreign non-state armed groups. This study identifies two causal paths linking energy resources, specifically natural gas, to state support of rebels by building on outside state supporters’ motives for: (1) competition over supply to global markets; and (2) secure access to resources and supply routes. The empirical section includes a large-N analysis on original data covering 454 rebel groups and their state supporters and a detailed case study of the Russian intervention in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine.

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“…Modern, economic channels are extensively tied to the cyberspace domain. A later study rooted in liberal thought,Aydin's(2012)Foreign powers and intervention in armed conflicts, even examines military intervention based on a state's economic motivation to intervene. Ravich's(2015) study from the Hudson Institute does address cyber-enabled economic ways but does not descend into a means discussion.…”

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confidence: 99%

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PETERS¹

2018

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Foreign Powers and Intervention in Armed Conflicts

Cited by 7 publications

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The global economic burden of violent conflict

The global economic burden of violent conflict

Does natural gas fuel civil war? Rethinking energy security, international relations, and fossil-fuel conflict

Cashing In on Cyberpower

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