2022
DOI: 10.15678/ier.2022.0803.03
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Forecasting the development of renewable energy sources in the Visegrad Group countries against the background of the European Union

Abstract: The aim of the article was to forecast the necessary pace of changes in the share of RES in the V4 countries resulting from the EU's renewable energy sources directive compared to other European Union countries. Research Design & Methods:The research area included all EU Member States, and in particular the Visegrad Group countries. Forecasts of future RES share values were based on two models: Holt-Winters and the autoregressive (AR) model based on EUROSTAT statistical data. Findings: The potential failure to… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(5 citation statements)
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References 26 publications
(35 reference statements)
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“…The current EU directive sets as a binding target at least a 32% RES share by 2030 (for the EU as a whole) (Directive (EU) 2018/2001). The aspect of forecasting the RES share has been addressed by a number of researchers (Firlej & Stanuch, 2023;brodny et al, 2020), where different directions of development of this sector have been pointed out. If we assume that RES have a positive impact on economic growth and further dynamic growth of the "green energy" sector is visible (based on forecasts), then the European Union has the opportunity to create a sustainable energy economy, which is particularly important in times of energy crisis.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The current EU directive sets as a binding target at least a 32% RES share by 2030 (for the EU as a whole) (Directive (EU) 2018/2001). The aspect of forecasting the RES share has been addressed by a number of researchers (Firlej & Stanuch, 2023;brodny et al, 2020), where different directions of development of this sector have been pointed out. If we assume that RES have a positive impact on economic growth and further dynamic growth of the "green energy" sector is visible (based on forecasts), then the European Union has the opportunity to create a sustainable energy economy, which is particularly important in times of energy crisis.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Achieving these targets requires binding national contributions to be set at the level of individual member states (Parlament Europejski, 2022). In this context, it should be borne in mind that the capabilities of the individual EU economies in the aspect of RES development vary due to their specificities (Firlej & Stanuch, 2022), which may result, for example, from their geographical location. The implementation of ambitious goals in the area of energy efficiency improvement and RES development requires the solidarity commitment of all EU member states.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Following Stern's (2000) theory of environmentalism, consumers act directly on the environment when sorting waste for recycling, consuming organic food, or using solar energy for heating, thereby significantly changing the environment. The indirect impact of consumers on changes occurs when their actions or references affect others to change their behaviour (Firlej & Stanuch, 2022). Stern (2000) concludes that personal capabilities are an essential causal variable in the implementation of sustainability policy, including knowledge (smart choice), skills (comparison), and material capacities (money) to undertake certain activities in time.…”
Section: Literature Review and Hypothesis Developmentmentioning
confidence: 99%