2022
DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09578
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Forecasting COVID19 parameters using time-series: KSA, USA, Spain, and Brazil comparative case study

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Cited by 6 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Throughout the pandemic, there has been a large volume of research on developing time-series predictive models to forecast COVID-19 transmission globally, for informing public health policy [ 51 ], ranging from epidemiological methods to machine learning. There are many advanced predictive models available as discussed in many recent studies, with varying strengths and limitations [ 18 , [52] , [53] , [54] , [55] , [56] ]. Some of the time-series models commonly used included susceptible exposed infected recovered (SEIR/SIR) [ 57 ], Kucharski et al described early dynamics of transmission using R eff in Wuhan, China using SEIR in early 2020 [ 58 ], while Campillo-Funollet et al used SEIR to predict healthcare demand and capacity based on local transmission in England from March to June 2020 [ 59 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Throughout the pandemic, there has been a large volume of research on developing time-series predictive models to forecast COVID-19 transmission globally, for informing public health policy [ 51 ], ranging from epidemiological methods to machine learning. There are many advanced predictive models available as discussed in many recent studies, with varying strengths and limitations [ 18 , [52] , [53] , [54] , [55] , [56] ]. Some of the time-series models commonly used included susceptible exposed infected recovered (SEIR/SIR) [ 57 ], Kucharski et al described early dynamics of transmission using R eff in Wuhan, China using SEIR in early 2020 [ 58 ], while Campillo-Funollet et al used SEIR to predict healthcare demand and capacity based on local transmission in England from March to June 2020 [ 59 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The COVID-19 pandemic has subjected health systems around the world to unprecedented stress, requiring resources that have even exceeded their planned emergency capacity [ 2 ]. As a matter of fact, versatile models able to accurately predict the evolution of the pandemic at different scales (country, region or organization) are of great interest [ 3 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…An ARIMA model was compared with LSTM for predicting average stock prices using NASDAQ data and was found to perform better than LSTM except for daily price predictions [25]. Exponential smoothing (ETS) was utilized for forecasting COVID-19 parameters across various countries and outperformed other methods such as LSTM when assessed using RMSE, MAE, and MSE metrics [26]. Several studies were conducted by using the generalized linear model (GLM) and its extensions.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%