Expert decision making

Hutton, Robert J. B.; Klein, Gary

doi:10.1002/(sici)1520-6858(1999)2:1<32::aid-sys3>3.0.co;2-p

Cited by 60 publications

(39 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…Moreover, in the first analysis, the experts who performed the exercise found the approach relevant for future application during dam diagnosis and analysis. Considering the whole set of possibility distributions, the maximal length used to define the support was 5 units (for instance F0 = [2,3,4,5,6]) while the maximal length to define the core was 2 units (for instance, F1 = [5,6]) on a scale from 0 to 10.…”

Section: Possibility Expression Of Imperfect Assessmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A dam assessment support system based on physical measurements, sensory evaluations and expert judgements

Curt¹,

Talon²,

Mauris

2011

Measurement

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In engineering system control, human beings can play various key roles, in particular concerning measurement, global assessment and decision. This paper focuses on methods that allow the representation and aggregation of heterogeneous data (sensory evaluations, physical measurements, outputs of mathematical models, etc.) used in a global dam assessment process.It is acknowledged that in such complex systems many of the variables involved are evaluated with uncertainty. We propose a possibility theory-based approach to deal with all the different uncertain pieces of information and propagate them in aggregation models for global dam assessment. Finally, decision-making and communication applications relating to dam safety are presented.

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Section: Possibility Expression Of Imperfect Assessmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A dam assessment support system based on physical measurements, sensory evaluations and expert judgements

Curt¹,

Talon²,

Mauris

2011

Measurement

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“…It would be expected that general principles could be demonstrated with research using microworlds, because it has already been established that these are similar across domains of expertise (Glaser, 1987). It is suggested that, in order for experts to make decisions, a continual SA is required (Hutton & Klein, 1999;Klein, 1989). Both novice and expert decision makers build a certain level of SA to inform decision making.…”

Section: Does a Microworld Provide An Environmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Investigating naturalistic decision making in a simulated microworld: What questions should we ask?

Elliott

Welsh

lbeck

et al. 2007

Behavior Research Methods

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“…Naturalistic Decision-Making research is particularly relevant in military contexts because it focuses on diagnostic decision-making, or situation assessment. The Sensor Shooter prototype utilized Klein's Recognition Primed Decision Making (RPD) model [11]. In a RPD process (Figure 2), an expert decision maker commits her/his resources to evaluating the situation and through this diagnostic evaluation, patterns are detected that lead to recognition that the current situation is analogous to situations that are known from past experience, albeit for a slight variation.…”

Section: Decision Models Used In Sensor Shooter Cognitive Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The appropriate course of action is implicit in recognition of the situation, diagnosis, and the subsequent mental simulation. According to Hutton & Klein [11], Experts' decision making is based on perceptual-recognition skill. This skill is built up through the accumulation of experiences with the task.…”

Section: Decision Models Used In Sensor Shooter Cognitive Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Currently, the Sensor Shooter simulation provides a very simplistic computational representation of Level 1 decision making from Klein's Recognition-Primed Decision (RPD) making model [1], [11]. Here, within ongoing events, the decision maker recognizes a pattern of cues associated with a known "situation."…”

Section: Decision Models Used In Sensor Shooter Cognitive Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Toward the Computational Representation of Individual Cultural, Cognitive, and Physiological State: The Sensor Shooter Simulation

Raybourn¹,

Forsythe²

2001

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This report documents an exploratory FY 00 LDRD project that sought to demonstrate the first steps toward a realistic computational representation of the variability encountered in individual human behavior. Realism, as conceptualized in this project, required that the human representation address the underlying psychological, cultural, physiological, and environmental stressors.The present report outlines the researchers' approach to representing cognitive, cultural, and physiological variability of an individual in an ambiguous situation while faced with a highconsequence decision that would greatly impact subsequent events. The present project was framed around a sensor-shooter scenario as a soldier interacts with an unexpected target (two young Iraqi girls).A software model of the "Sensor Shooter" scenario from Desert Storm was developed in which the framework consisted of a computational instantiation of Recognition Primed Decision Making in the context of a Naturalistic Decision Making model [1]. Recognition Primed Decision Making was augmented with an underlying foundation based on our current understanding of human neurophysiology and its relationship to human cognitive processes. While the Gulf War scenario that constitutes the framework for the Sensor Shooter prototype is highly specific, the human decision architecture and the subsequent simulation are applicable to other problems similar in concept, intensity, and degree of uncertainty. The goal was to provide initial steps toward a computational representation of human variability in cultural, cognitive, and physiological state in order to attain a better understanding of the full depth of human decisionmaking processes in the context of ambiguity, novelty, and heightened arousal. 4 AcknowledgementsWe thank our subject matter experts, Ray

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Expert decision making

Cited by 60 publications

References 30 publications

A dam assessment support system based on physical measurements, sensory evaluations and expert judgements

A dam assessment support system based on physical measurements, sensory evaluations and expert judgements

Investigating naturalistic decision making in a simulated microworld: What questions should we ask?

Toward the Computational Representation of Individual Cultural, Cognitive, and Physiological State: The Sensor Shooter Simulation

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