“…As the pressure builds, eruptions are often preceded by an increase in seismic activity and surface deformation, which are often reliable indicators of impending eruption (Budi-Santoso et al, 2013;Kilburn, 2003Kilburn, , 2012Lengliné et al, 2008;Peltier & Bachèlery, 2009;Peltier et al, 2005Peltier et al, , 2006Schmid et al, 2012;Surono et al, 2012;Voight, 1988). However, abrupt increases in seismic activity or surface deformation at Kīlauea are not always indicative of an impending eruption and may occur due to intrusions of magma (Judson et al, 2018) or due to episodic deflation/inflation events (Anderson et al, 2015). This makes forecasting eruptions with surface deformation and seismic approaches alone challenging.…”