2017
DOI: 10.1002/2017gl074877
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ENSO Weather and Coral Bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia

Abstract: The most devastating mass coral bleaching has occurred during El Niño events, with bleaching reported to be a direct result of increased sea surface temperatures (SSTs). However, El Niño itself does not cause SSTs to rise in all regions that experience bleaching. Nor is the upper ocean warming trend of 0.11°C per decade since 1971, attributed to global warming, sufficient alone to exceed the thermal tolerance of corals. Here we show that weather patterns during El Niño that result in reduced cloud cover, highe… Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(44 citation statements)
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References 21 publications
(37 reference statements)
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“…The most common type is associated with above average mean sea level pressure, higher surface air temperatures, negative cloud cover anomalies, and high humidity. Under these conditions water temperatures over individual coral reefs are typically >2 °C above average (McGowan & Theobald, ), similar to conditions found during energy balance observations at Heron Island in February 2010 when coral bleaching occurred. Accordingly, these studies highlight the role of atmospheric processes at the synoptic scale in controlling the energy balance of individual coral reefs at micro to local scales over hours and hundreds of meters, rather than ENSO or background warming of the oceans.…”
Section: Insights Into Surface—atmosphere Energetics At Heron Reefsupporting
confidence: 77%
“…The most common type is associated with above average mean sea level pressure, higher surface air temperatures, negative cloud cover anomalies, and high humidity. Under these conditions water temperatures over individual coral reefs are typically >2 °C above average (McGowan & Theobald, ), similar to conditions found during energy balance observations at Heron Island in February 2010 when coral bleaching occurred. Accordingly, these studies highlight the role of atmospheric processes at the synoptic scale in controlling the energy balance of individual coral reefs at micro to local scales over hours and hundreds of meters, rather than ENSO or background warming of the oceans.…”
Section: Insights Into Surface—atmosphere Energetics At Heron Reefsupporting
confidence: 77%
“…At large scales (5–50 km) patterns of bleaching severity can be successfully predicted and explained by accumulated heat stress, especially during summer months, often measured as degree heating weeks ([DHWs], Table ), but local‐scale heterogeneity in bleaching patterns is likely to be reflective of a variety of reef‐ and organismal‐scale factors . During this time, extrinsic factors such as hydrodynamics influence the local‐scale water temperatures and as a result the severity of bleaching . In fact, several studies have determined that factors like the mixing of the water column and advection of cooler water, in addition to higher water flow velocities, can provide a refuge from high temperatures mitigating the impacts of adverse conditions on coral physiology …”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the GBR region, coral bleaching was enhanced by specific local El Niño associated weather patterns. These were dominated by reduced cloud coverage during most previously reported bleaching events in 1983, 1987, 1992, 1993, 1998, 2010(McGowan and Theobald, 2017. The 1997/1998 El Niño caused global coral bleaching (Hoegh-Guldberg, 1999).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…Large scale anomalous warming of the Australian coastal ocean has been observed as a consequence of ENSO influenced SST variability for the World Heritage Great Barrier Reef (GBR, Redondo-Rodriguez et al, 2012;Hughes et al, 2017;McGowan and Theobald, 2017;Benthuysen et al, 2018;Stuart-Smith et al, 2018), the Leeuwin Current (Holbrook et al, 2009;Feng et al, 2013), the East Australian Current (EAC) (Holbrook et al, 2009), and the Tasman Sea . In regards to the GBR, the relation between El Niño/La Niña and summer SST anomalies is spatially variable and the strongest in the south of the reef over a 60 years study period (Redondo-Rodriguez et al, 2012).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%