Effect of air services availability on international visitors to New Zealand

Modelling the volatility of international visitor arrivals to New Zealand

“…New Zealand's tourism demand) was not found to be significant in this study, and the empirical results of the change in the 'exchange rate' variable were not consistent with general acceptance and prior literature (e.g. Duval and Schiff, 2011;Dwyer et al, 2002;Schiff and Becken, 2011;Yeoman et al, 2012). Only three countries (Australia, South Korea and the US) presented negative parameters for the change in the 'exchange rate' variable.…”

“…These factors include the 9/11 terrorist attacks, the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak (Yeoman et al, 2012), higher aviation fuel prices (e.g. Becken, 2008;Becken et al, 2009;Becken and Lennox, 2012;Lennox, 2012;Schiff and Becken, 2011), the Christchurch earthquakes of 2011/12 and the Rugby World Cup of 2011 (a major sport tournament) (Tsui et al, 2014;Yeoman et al, 2012), seasonality and other specific calendarrelated holidays such as the New Year holiday period , regional and global economic crises (Yeoman et al, 2012), air ticket prices (airfares), the availability of direct air services (Duval and Schiff, 2011;Schiff and Becken, 2011;Turner and Witt, 2001) and exchange rate fluctuations (e.g. Stavarek, 2007;Schiff and Becken, 2011;Turner and Witt, 2001;Yeoman et al, 2012).…”

Forecasting short-term air passenger demand using big data from search engine queries

“…Regression analysis forecasts air passenger demand through the causal relationships among two or more variables. Duval and Schiff [6] developed a regression analysis model for forecasting the number of New Zealand air passengers using the GDP of various countries and the exchange rate of New Zealand dollars. Abed et al [1] developed a Saudi Arabian air passenger demand forecasting model using independent variables such as the Oil GDP and Non-Oil GDP.…”

Air transport and tourism – a systematic literature review (2000–2014)

“…Tourism destinations is a central topic in air transport-related research with a focus on issues facing international commercial air transport and their implications for global tourist flows (Duval, 2013). Within this theme, the majority of articles examine the airline industry's impact on tourism destination development (Duval & Schiff, 2011;Graham & Dennis, 2010;Hazledine & Collins, 2011;Koo et al, 2013;Koo, Wu, & Dwyer, 2010;Liasidou, 2012;Macchiavelli & Vaghi, 2003;Papatheodorou, 2002;Rey, Myro, & Galera, 2011;Smith, 2009). Topics addressed include airline transport impacts on the decision-making process for tourism destinations, its role in tourism promotion, and effects on new tourism product creation.…”